SIGI 10-Q Quarterly Report March 31, 2014 | Alphaminr
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP INC

SIGI 10-Q Quarter ended March 31, 2014

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP INC
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10-Q 1 sigi-3312014x10q.htm 10-Q SIGI-3/31/2014-10Q
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549
FORM 10-Q
(Mark One)
x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended: March 31, 2014
or
¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from_____________________________to_____________________________
Commission File Number: 001-33067
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
New Jersey
22-2168890
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation or Organization)
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
40 Wantage Avenue
Branchville, New Jersey
07890
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
(Zip Code)
(973) 948-3000
(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)
(Former Name, Former Address and Former Fiscal Year, if Changed Since Last Report)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes x No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).
Yes x No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer x
Accelerated filer o
Non-accelerated filer o
Smaller reporting company o
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).                                                              Yes o No x
As of March 31, 2014 , there were 56,219,199 shares of common stock, par value $2.00 per share, outstanding.



SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
Table of Contents
Page No.
Federal Income Taxes
Item 5.
Other Information



PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
Unaudited
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
March 31,
2014
December 31,
2013
ASSETS


Investments:


Fixed income securities, held-to-maturity – at carrying value (fair value:  $403,536 – 2014; $416,981 – 2013)
$
382,056

392,879

Fixed income securities, available-for-sale – at fair value (amortized cost: $3,748,456 – 2014; $3,675,977 – 2013)
3,815,853

3,715,536

Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value (cost:  $162,370 – 2014; $155,350 – 2013)
197,687

192,771

Short-term investments (at cost which approximates fair value)
137,733

174,251

Other investments
106,720

107,875

Total investments (Note 5)
4,640,049

4,583,312

Cash
245

193

Interest and dividends due or accrued
36,967

37,382

Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible accounts of:  $3,771 – 2014; $4,442 – 2013
553,912

524,870

Reinsurance recoverables, net
574,621

550,897

Prepaid reinsurance premiums
141,603

143,000

Current federal income tax

512

Deferred federal income tax
113,061

122,613

Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of:
$181,959 – 2014; $179,192 – 2013
53,725

50,834

Deferred policy acquisition costs
177,678

172,981

Goodwill
7,849

7,849

Other assets
70,526

75,727

Total assets
$
6,370,236

6,270,170

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY


Liabilities:


Reserve for loss and loss expenses
$
3,432,432

3,349,770

Unearned premiums
1,078,012

1,059,155

Notes payable
392,420

392,414

Current federal income tax
3,249


Accrued salaries and benefits
89,558

111,427

Other liabilities
189,034

203,476

Total liabilities
$
5,184,705

5,116,242

Stockholders’ Equity:


Preferred stock of $0 par value per share:
$


Authorized shares 5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
Common stock of $2 par value per share:
Authorized shares 360,000,000
Issued: 99,536,697 – 2014; 99,120,235 – 2013
199,073

198,240

Additional paid-in capital
294,365

288,182

Retained earnings
1,212,577

1,202,015

Accumulated other comprehensive income (Note 10)
41,529

24,851

Treasury stock – at cost
(shares:  43,317,498– 2014; 43,198,622 – 2013)
(562,013
)
(559,360
)
Total stockholders’ equity
1,185,531

1,153,928

Commitments and contingencies




Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
$
6,370,236

6,270,170


The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

1


SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
2014
2013
Revenues:


Net premiums earned
$
456,495

420,940

Net investment income earned
35,534

32,870

Net realized gains:


Net realized investment gains
8,181

5,304

Other-than-temporary impairments
(963
)
(1,919
)
Other-than-temporary impairments on fixed income securities recognized in other comprehensive income

(30
)
Total net realized gains
7,218

3,355

Other income
9,824

2,784

Total revenues
509,071

459,949

Expenses:


Loss and loss expense incurred
320,546

269,849

Policy acquisition costs
149,266

139,528

Interest expense
5,561

5,831

Other expenses
8,614

15,873

Total expenses
483,987

431,081

Income from continuing operations, before federal income tax
25,084

28,868

Federal income tax expense (benefit):


Current
6,538

7,453

Deferred
572

(890
)
Total federal income tax expense
7,110

6,563

Net income from continuing operations
17,974

22,305

Loss on disposal of discontinued operations, net of tax of $(538) - 2013

(997
)
Net income
$
17,974

21,308

Earnings per share:


Basic net income from continuing operations
$
0.32

0.40

Basic net loss from discontinued operations

(0.02
)
Basic net income
$
0.32

0.38

Diluted net income from continuing operations
$
0.31

0.40

Diluted net loss from discontinued operations

(0.02
)
Diluted net income
$
0.31

0.38

Dividends to stockholders
$
0.13

0.13

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.


2


SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Quarter ended
March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Net income
$
17,974

21,308

Other comprehensive income, net of tax:


Unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities:


Unrealized holding gains arising during period
21,426

2,394

Non-credit portion of other-than-temporary impairments recognized in other comprehensive income

20

Amount reclassified into net income:
Held-to-maturity securities
(296
)
(466
)
Non-credit other-than-temporary impairments

4

Realized gains on available for sale securities
(4,699
)
(3,884
)
Total unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities
16,431

(1,932
)
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:


Net actuarial gain

28,600

Amounts reclassified into net income:
Net actuarial loss
247

1,196

Prior service cost

6

Curtailment expense

11

Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
247

29,813

Other comprehensive income
16,678

27,881

Comprehensive income
$
34,652

49,189

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.


3


SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Three Months ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Common stock:


Beginning of year
$
198,240

196,388

Dividend reinvestment plan (shares:  15,283 – 2014; 17,314 – 2013)
31

35

Stock purchase and compensation plans (shares:  401,179 – 2014; 496,647 – 2013)
802

993

End of period
199,073

197,416

Additional paid-in capital:


Beginning of year
288,182

270,654

Dividend reinvestment plan
320

349

Stock purchase and compensation plans
5,863

5,714

End of period
294,365

276,717

Retained earnings:


Beginning of year
1,202,015

1,125,154

Net income
17,974

21,308

Dividends to stockholders ($0.13 per share – 2014 and 2013)
(7,412
)
(7,351
)
End of period
1,212,577

1,139,111

Accumulated other comprehensive income:


Beginning of year
24,851

54,040

Other comprehensive income
16,678

27,881

End of period
41,529

81,921

Treasury stock:


Beginning of year
(559,360
)
(555,644
)
Acquisition of treasury stock (shares:  118,876 – 2014; 146,436 – 2013)
(2,653
)
(3,176
)
End of period
(562,013
)
(558,820
)
Total stockholders’ equity
$
1,185,531

1,136,345

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. also has authorized, but not issued, 5,000,000 shares of preferred stock, without par value, of which 300,000 shares have been
designated Series A junior preferred stock, without par value.
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.


4


SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
Three Months ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Operating Activities


Net income
$
17,974

21,308

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:


Depreciation and amortization
10,578

13,148

Sale of renewal rights
(8,000
)

Loss on disposal of discontinued operations

997

Stock-based compensation expense
4,176

3,692

Undistributed (gains) losses of equity method investments
(33
)
426

Net realized gains
(7,218
)
(3,355
)
Retirement income plan curtailment expense

16

Changes in assets and liabilities:


Increase in reserve for loss and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverables
58,938

38,556

Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance and advance premiums
19,875

30,106

Decrease in net federal income taxes
4,332

5,290

Increase in premiums receivable
(29,042
)
(36,202
)
Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs
(4,697
)
(2,963
)
Decrease in interest and dividends due or accrued
414

384

Decrease in accrued salaries and benefits
(21,869
)
(4,528
)
Decrease in accrued insurance expenses
(26,957
)
(12,378
)
Other-net
17,293

(26,357
)
Net adjustments
17,790

6,832

Net cash provided by operating activities
35,764

28,140

Investing Activities


Purchase of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
(182,809
)
(308,289
)
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale
(61,360
)
(2
)
Purchase of other investments
(4,615
)
(2,329
)
Purchase of short-term investments
(398,348
)
(644,274
)
Sale of subsidiary

225

Sale of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
1,302

6,851

Sale of short-term investments
434,865

695,313

Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, held-to-maturity
9,396

28,644

Redemption and maturities of fixed income securities, available-for-sale
104,358

124,975

Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale
61,523


Distributions from other investments
5,704

3,447

Purchase of property and equipment
(5,699
)
(3,673
)
Sale of renewal rights
8,000


Net cash used in investing activities
(27,683
)
(99,112
)
Financing Activities


Dividends to stockholders
(6,948
)
(6,824
)
Acquisition of treasury stock
(2,653
)
(3,176
)
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans
1,261

1,164

Proceeds from issuance of notes payable, net of debt issuance costs

178,623

Repayment of notes payable

(100,000
)
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements
770

1,271

Repayments of capital lease obligations
(459
)

Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities
(8,029
)
71,058

Net increase in cash
52

86

Cash, beginning of year
193

210

Cash, end of period
$
245

296

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these unaudited interim consolidated financial statements.

5


NOTES TO UNAUDITED INTERIM CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

NOTE 1. Organization
Selective Insurance Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, (collectively referred to as “we,” “us,” or “our”) offers standard and excess and surplus lines (“E&S”) property and casualty insurance products. Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (referred to as the “Parent”) was incorporated in New Jersey in 1977 and its main offices are located in Branchville, New Jersey. The Parent’s common stock is publicly traded on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol “SIGI.”

We classify our business into three operating segments:
Our Standard Insurance Operations segment, which is comprised of both commercial lines ("Commercial Lines") and personal lines ("Personal Lines") business, sells property and casualty insurance products and services in the standard market, including flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program's ("NFIPs") write-your-own ("WYO") program;
Our E&S Insurance Operations segment sells Commercial Lines property and casualty insurance products and services to insureds who have not obtained coverage in the standard market; and
Our Investments segment, which invests the premiums collected by our Standard and E&S Insurance Operations and amounts generated through our capital management strategies, which may include the issuance of debt and equity securities.

NOTE 2. Basis of Presentation
These interim unaudited consolidated financial statements (“Financial Statements”) include the accounts of the Parent and its subsidiaries, and have been prepared in conformity with: (i) U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”); and (ii) the rules and regulations of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) regarding interim financial reporting. The preparation of the Financial Statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported financial statement balances, as well as the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. Actual results could differ from those estimates. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions between the Parent and its subsidiaries are eliminated in consolidation.
Certain amounts in our prior years' Financial Statements and related notes have been reclassified to conform to the 2014 presentation. Such reclassifications had no effect on our net income, stockholders' equity, or cash flows.

These Financial Statements reflect all adjustments that, in our opinion, are normal, recurring, and necessary for a fair presentation of our results of operations and financial condition. The Financial Statements cover the first quarters ended March 31, 2014 (“ First Quarter 2014 ”) and March 31, 2013 (“ First Quarter 2013 ”). The Financial Statements do not include all of the information and disclosures required by GAAP and the SEC for audited annual financial statements. Results of operations for any interim period are not necessarily indicative of results for a full year. Consequently, the Financial Statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 (“ 2013 Annual Report ”) filed with the SEC.
NOTE 3. Adoption of Accounting Pronouncements
I n July 2013, the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Accounting Standards Update ("ASU") No. 2013-11, Income Taxes, Presentation of an Unrecognized Tax Benefit When a Net Operating Loss Carryforward, a Similar Tax Loss, or a Tax Credit Carryforward Exists (a consensus of the FASB Emerging Issues Task Force) ("ASU 2013-11"). ASU 2013-11 applies to all entities with unrecognized tax benefits that also have tax loss or tax credit carryforwards in the same tax jurisdiction as of the reporting date. An unrecognized tax benefit is the difference between a tax position taken or expected to be taken in a tax return and the benefit that is more likely than not sustainable under examination. Under ASU 2013-11, an entity must net an unrecognized tax benefit, or a portion of an unrecognized tax benefit, against deferred tax assets for a net operating loss ("NOL") carryforward, a similar tax loss, or a tax credit carryforward except when:
An NOL carryforward, a similar tax loss, or a tax credit carryfoward is not available as of the reporting date under the governing tax law to settle taxes that would result from the disallowance of the tax position; or
The entity does not intend to use the deferred tax asset for this purpose.If either of these conditions exists, an entity should present an unrecognized tax benefit in the financial statements as a liability and should not net the unrecognized tax benefit with a deferred tax asset.

ASU 2013-11 was effective for fiscal years, and interim periods within those years, beginning after December 15, 2013. The adoption of this guidance did not impact our financial condition or results of operation.

6



Pronouncements to be effective in the future
In January 2014, the FASB issued ASU 2014-01, Accounting for Investments in Qualified Affordable Housing Projects ("ASU 2014-01").  ASU 2014-01 applies to all reporting entities that invest in flow-through limited liability entities that manage or invest in affordable housing projects that qualify for a low-income housing tax credit. ASU 2014-01 permits reporting entities to make an accounting policy election to account for their investments in qualified affordable housing projects using a newly defined "proportional amortization method" if certain conditions are met. Under the proportional amortization method, an entity amortizes the initial cost of the investment in proportion to the tax credits and other tax benefits received and recognizes the net investment performance in the income statement as components of income tax expense (benefit).  For those investments in qualified affordable housing projects not accounted for using the proportional amortization method, the investment is required to be accounted for as an equity method investment or a cost method investment.

ASU 2014-01 is effective for public business entities for annual periods and interim periods within those annual periods, beginning after December 15, 2014.  The adoption of this guidance will not have a material impact on our financial condition or results of operations.

NOTE 4. Statements of Cash Flow
Cash paid during the period for interest and federal income taxes was as follows:
Three Months ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Cash paid during the period for:


Interest
$
2,973

1,964

Federal income tax
2,000


Non-cash items:
Tax-free exchange of fixed income securities, AFS

8,470

Tax-free exchange of fixed income securities, HTM
15

7,168


At March 31, 2014 , included in "Other assets" on the Consolidated Balance Sheets was $6.1 million of cash received from the NFIP, which is restricted to pay flood claims under the WYO program.
NOTE 5. Investments
(a) The amortized cost, net unrealized gains and losses, carrying value, unrecognized holding gains and losses, and fair value of held-to-maturity (“HTM”) fixed income securities as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 were as follows:
March 31, 2014
($ in thousands)
Amortized
Cost
Net
Unrealized Gains
(Losses)
Carrying
Value
Unrecognized
Holding
Gains
Unrecognized Holding
Losses
Fair
Value
Foreign government
$
5,292

110

5,402

150


5,552

Obligations of state and political subdivisions
344,360

3,475

347,835

16,472


364,307

Corporate securities
21,903

(341
)
21,562

2,902


24,464

Asset-backed securities (“ABS”)
3,347

(621
)
2,726

640


3,366

Commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”)
5,353

(822
)
4,531

1,316


5,847

Total HTM fixed income securities
$
380,255

1,801

382,056

21,480


403,536


7


December 31, 2013
($ in thousands)
Amortized
Cost
Net
Unrealized Gains
(Losses)
Carrying
Value
Unrecognized
Holding
Gains
Unrecognized Holding
Losses
Fair
Value
Foreign government
$
5,292

131

5,423

168


5,591

Obligations of state and political subdivisions
348,109

4,013

352,122

17,634


369,756

Corporate securities
28,174

(346
)
27,828

2,446


30,274

ABS
3,413

(655
)
2,758

657


3,415

CMBS
5,634

(886
)
4,748

3,197


7,945

Total HTM fixed income securities
$
390,622

2,257

392,879

24,102


416,981

Unrecognized holding gains and losses of HTM securities are not reflected in the Financial Statements, as they represent fair value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security is designated as HTM; or (ii) the date that an other-than-temporary impairment (“OTTI”) charge is recognized on an HTM security, through the date of the balance sheet. Our HTM securities had an average duration of 2.2 years as of March 31, 2014 .

(b) The cost/amortized cost, unrealized gains and losses, and fair value of AFS securities as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 were as follows:
March 31, 2014
($ in thousands)
Cost/
Amortized
Cost
Unrealized
Gains
Unrealized
Losses
Fair
Value
U.S. government and government agencies
$
161,428

10,007

(370
)
171,065

Foreign government
31,538

912

(29
)
32,421

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
963,237

26,617

(10,687
)
979,167

Corporate securities
1,777,186

48,305

(9,793
)
1,815,698

ABS
131,386

908

(360
)
131,934

CMBS 1
172,386

4,686

(2,256
)
174,816

Residential mortgage-backed
securities (“RMBS”) 2
511,295

7,210

(7,753
)
510,752

AFS fixed income securities
3,748,456

98,645

(31,248
)
3,815,853

AFS equity securities
162,370

35,434

(117
)
197,687

Total AFS securities
$
3,910,826

134,079

(31,365
)
4,013,540

December 31, 2013
($ in thousands)
Cost/
Amortized
Cost
Unrealized
Gains
Unrealized
Losses
Fair
Value
U.S. government and government agencies
$
163,218

10,661

(504
)
173,375

Foreign government
29,781

906

(72
)
30,615

Obligations of states and political subdivisions
946,455

25,194

(20,025
)
951,624

Corporate securities
1,707,928

44,004

(17,049
)
1,734,883

ABS
140,430

934

(468
)
140,896

CMBS 1
172,288

2,462

(3,466
)
171,284

RMBS 2
515,877

7,273

(10,291
)
512,859

AFS fixed income securities
3,675,977

91,434

(51,875
)
3,715,536

AFS equity securities
155,350

37,517

(96
)
192,771

Total AFS securities
$
3,831,327

128,951

(51,971
)
3,908,307


1 CMBS includes government guaranteed agency securities with a fair value of $24.5 million at March 31, 2014 and $30.0 million at December 31, 2013 .
2 RMBS includes government guaranteed agency securities with a fair value of $48.2 million at March 31, 2014 and $55.2 million at December 31, 2013 .

8


Unrealized gains and losses of AFS securities represent fair value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security is designated as AFS; or (ii) the date that an OTTI charge is recognized on an AFS security, through the date of the balance sheet. These unrealized gains and losses are recorded in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income ("AOCI") on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.

(c) The following tables summarize, for all securities in a net unrealized/unrecognized loss position at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 , the fair value and gross pre-tax net unrealized/unrecognized loss by asset class and by length of time those securities have been in a net loss position:
March 31, 2014
Less than 12 months
12 months or longer
($ in thousands)
Fair Value
Unrealized
Losses 1
Fair Value
Unrealized
Losses 1
AFS securities




U.S. government and government agencies
$
13,119

(370
)


Foreign government
1,753

(9
)
2,978

(20
)
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
373,064

(9,984
)
20,096

(703
)
Corporate securities
464,163

(8,636
)
17,713

(1,157
)
ABS
23,855

(360
)


CMBS
72,437

(1,962
)
7,466

(294
)
RMBS
221,314

(7,294
)
4,823

(459
)
Total fixed income securities
1,169,705

(28,615
)
53,076

(2,633
)
Equity securities
1,938

(117
)


Subtotal
$
1,171,643

(28,732
)
53,076

(2,633
)

Less than 12 months
12 months or longer
($ in thousands)
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses 1
Unrecognized
Gains 2
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses 1
Unrecognized
Gains 2
HTM securities






Obligations of states and political subdivisions
$



445

(19
)
18

ABS



2,495

(621
)
592

Subtotal
$



2,940

(640
)
610

Total AFS and HTM
$
1,171,643

(28,732
)

56,016

(3,273
)
610


December 31, 2013
Less than 12 months
12 months or longer
($ in thousands)
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses 1
Fair Value
Unrealized
Losses 1
AFS securities




U.S. government and government agencies
$
16,955

(500
)
507

(4
)
Foreign government
2,029

(30
)
2,955

(42
)
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
442,531

(19,120
)
13,530

(905
)
Corporate securities
511,100

(15,911
)
14,771

(1,138
)
ABS
68,725

(468
)


CMBS
100,396

(2,950
)
6,298

(516
)
RMBS
268,943

(10,031
)
2,670

(260
)
Total fixed income securities
1,410,679

(49,010
)
40,731

(2,865
)
Equity securities
1,124

(96
)


Subtotal
$
1,411,803

(49,106
)
40,731

(2,865
)

9



Less than 12 months
12 months or longer
($ in thousands)
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses 1
Unrecognized
Gains 2
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Losses 1
Unrecognized
Gains 2
HTM securities






Obligations of states and political subdivisions
$
65

(5
)
5

441

(20
)
14

ABS



2,490

(655
)
621

Subtotal
65

(5
)
5

2,931

(675
)
635

Total AFS and HTM
$
1,411,868

(49,111
)
5

43,662

(3,540
)
635

1 Gross unrealized losses include non-OTTI unrealized amounts and OTTI losses recognized in AOCI.  In addition, this column includes remaining unrealized gain or loss amounts on securities that were transferred to an HTM designation in the first quarter of 2009 for those securities that are in a net unrealized/unrecognized loss position.
2 Unrecognized gains represent fair value fluctuations from the later of:  (i) the date a security is designated as HTM; or (ii) the date that an OTTI charge is recognized on an HTM security.

As evidenced by the table below, our net unrealized/unrecognized loss positions improved by $20.6 million as of March 31, 2014 compared to December 31, 2013 as follows:
($ in thousands)
March 31, 2014
December 31, 2013
Number of
Issues
% of Market/Book
Unrealized/
Unrecognized Loss
Number of
Issues
% of
Market/Book
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
Loss
466

80% - 99%
$
31,395

556

80% - 99%
$
51,835


60% - 79%

1

60% - 79%
176


40% - 59%


40% - 59%


20% - 39%


20% - 39%


0% - 19%


0% - 19%


$
31,395


$
52,011

We have reviewed the securities in the tables above in accordance with our OTTI policy, as described in Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2013 Annual Report .
At March 31, 2014 , we had 466 securities in an aggregate unrealized/unrecognized loss position of $31.4 million , $2.7 million of which have been in a loss position for more than 12 months. At December 31, 2013 , we had 557 securities in an aggregate unrealized/unrecognized loss position of $52.0 million , $2.9 million of which had been in a loss position for more than 12 months. During First Quarter 2014, interest rates on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note fell by 31 basis points. This interest rate movement had a positive impact on our fixed income securities portfolio's valuation, thus decreasing the number of securities in a loss position and the corresponding dollar amount of unrealized losses. For a discussion regarding the sensitivity of interest rate movements and the related impacts on the fixed income securities portfolio, refer to Item 7A. "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk" in our 2013 Annual Report.
We do not intend to sell any securities in an unrealized/unrecognized loss position, nor do we believe we will be required to sell these securities, and therefore we have concluded that they are temporarily impaired as of March 31, 2014 . This conclusion reflects our current judgment as to the financial position and future prospects of the entity that issued the investment security and underlying collateral. If our judgment about an individual security changes in the future, we may ultimately record a credit loss after having originally concluded that one did not exist, which could have a material impact on our net income and financial position in future periods.

10


(d) Fixed income securities at March 31, 2014 , by contractual maturity, are shown below. Mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") are included in the maturity tables using the estimated average life of each security. Expected maturities may differ from contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations, with or without call or prepayment penalties.
Listed below are HTM fixed income securities at March 31, 2014 :
($ in thousands)
Carrying Value
Fair Value
Due in one year or less
$
80,337

81,332

Due after one year through five years
270,608

287,045

Due after five years through 10 years
31,111

35,159

Total HTM fixed income securities
$
382,056

403,536

Listed below are AFS fixed income securities at March 31, 2014 :
($ in thousands)
Fair Value
Due in one year or less
$
425,744

Due after one year through five years
1,991,515

Due after five years through 10 years
1,345,666

Due after 10 years
52,928

Total AFS fixed income securities
$
3,815,853

(e) The following table summarizes our other investment portfolio by strategy and the remaining commitment amount associated with each strategy:
Other Investments
Carrying Value
March 31,
2014
($ in thousands)
March 31,
2014
December 31,
2013
Remaining Commitment
Alternative Investments



Secondary private equity
$
23,595

25,618

6,479

Private equity
21,117

20,192

9,959

Energy/power generation
17,978

17,361

6,984

Mezzanine financing
13,831

12,738

15,038

Distressed debt
10,882

11,579

2,971

Real estate
10,728

11,698

10,178

Venture capital
7,019

7,025

350

Total alternative investments
105,150

106,211

51,959

Other securities
1,570

1,664

597

Total other investments
$
106,720

107,875

52,556

For a description of our seven alternative investment strategies, as well as information regarding redemption, restrictions, and fund liquidations, refer to Note 5. “Investments” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2013 Annual Report .

11


The following table sets forth gross summarized financial information for our other investments portfolio, including the portion not owned by us. The investments are carried under the equity method of accounting. The last line of the table below reflects our share of the aggregate income, which is the portion included in our Financial Statements. As the majority of these investments reports results to us on a quarter lag, the summarized financial statement information for the three -month periods ended December 31 is as follows:
Income Statement Information
Quarter ended December 31,
($ in millions)
2013
2012
Net investment income
$
65.1

204.8

Realized gains
63.3

593.4

Net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation)
505.9

(417.5
)
Net income
$
634.3

380.7

Selective’s insurance subsidiaries’ other investments income
$
5.2

3.6

(f) At March 31, 2014 , we had fixed income securities, with a carrying value of $61.8 million , that were pledged as collateral for our outstanding borrowing of $58 million with the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis (“FHLBI”).  This outstanding borrowing is included in “Notes payable” on the Consolidated Balance Sheets.  In accordance with the terms of our agreement with the FHLBI, we retain all rights regarding these securities, which are included in the “U.S. government and government agencies,” “RMBS,” and “CMBS” classifications of our AFS fixed income securities portfolio.

Also at March 31, 2014 , we had fixed income securities, with a carrying value of $22.3 million , and short-term investments with a carrying value of $0.2 million , that collateralize reinsurance obligations related to our 2011 acquisition of our E&S book of business. Similar to the FHLBI collateral discussion above, we retain all rights regarding these investments. These fixed income securities are included in the "Municipal," "Corporate," "U.S. government and government agencies," "RMBS," and "ABS" classifications of our AFS fixed income securities portfolio.

In addition, fixed income securities with a carrying value of $26.2 million were on deposit with various state and regulatory agencies to comply with insurance laws. We retain all rights regarding these securities, which are primarily included in the "U.S. government and government agencies" classification of our AFS fixed income securities portfolio.
(g) The components of net investment income earned for the periods indicated were as follows:
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Fixed income securities
$
31,028


30,089

Equity securities
1,449


1,207

Short-term investments
19


52

Other investments
5,218


3,602

Investment expenses
(2,180
)

(2,080
)
Net investment income earned
$
35,534

32,870


(h) The following tables summarize OTTI by asset type for the periods indicated:
First Quarter 2014
Gross
Included in Other
Comprehensive
Income (“OCI”)
Recognized in
Earnings
($ in thousands)
AFS securities
Equity securities
$
963


963

Total AFS Securities
963


963

OTTI losses
$
963


963


12


First Quarter 2013
Gross
Included in OCI
Recognized in Earnings
($ in thousands)
AFS fixed income securities



RMBS
$
(22
)
(30
)
8

Total AFS fixed income securities
(22
)
(30
)
8

Equity securities
217


217

Total AFS securities
195

(30
)
225

Other investments
1,724


1,724

OTTI losses
$
1,919

(30
)
1,949


The OTTI charges in First Quarter 2014 relate to equity securities for which we have the intent to sell. The majority of the OTTI charges in First Quarter 2013 related to an investment in a limited liability company within our other investments portfolio that had sustained significant losses for which we did not anticipate recovery. For a discussion of our evaluation for OTTI of fixed income securities, short-term investments, equity securities, and other investments, refer to Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data" of our 2013 Annual Report.

The following tables set forth, for the periods indicated, credit loss impairments on fixed income securities for which a portion of the OTTI charge was recognized in OCI, and the corresponding changes in such amounts:
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Balance, beginning of period
$
7,488

7,477

Addition for the amount related to credit loss for which an OTTI was not previously recognized


Reductions for securities sold during the period


Reductions for securities for which the amount previously recognized in OCI was recognized in earnings because of intention or potential requirement to sell before recovery of amortized cost


Reductions for securities for which the entire amount previously recognized in OCI was recognized in earnings due to a decrease in cash flows expected


Additional increases to the amount related to credit loss for which an OTTI was previously recognized

9

Accretion of credit loss impairments previously recognized due to an increase in cash flows expected to be collected


Balance, end of period
$
7,488

7,486


(i) The components of net realized gains, excluding OTTI charges, for the periods indicated were as follows:
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
HTM fixed income securities
Gains
$


Losses
(11
)
(37
)
AFS fixed income securities


Gains
158

951

Losses
(112
)
(253
)
AFS equity securities


Gains
8,317

5,671

Losses
(171
)
(168
)
Other investments
Gains


Losses


(860
)
Total other net realized investment gains
8,181


5,304

Total OTTI charges recognized in earnings
(963
)

(1,949
)
Total net realized gains
$
7,218


3,355


13


Realized gains and losses on the sale of investments are determined on the basis of the cost of the specific investments sold. The $8.2 million and $5.3 million in net realized gains in First Quarter 2014 and First Quarter 2013 , respectively, were primarily related to the sale of AFS equity securities due to a rebalancing of our equity portfolio.

Proceeds from the sale of AFS securities were $62.8 million in First Quarter 2014 and $6.9 million in First Quarter 2013 .
NOTE 6. Fair Value Measurements
The following table presents the carrying amounts and estimated fair values of our financial instruments as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 :
March 31, 2014
December 31, 2013
($ in thousands)
Carrying Amount
Fair
Value
Carrying Amount
Fair
Value
Financial Assets




Fixed income securities:




HTM
$
382,056

403,536

392,879

416,981

AFS
3,815,853

3,815,853

3,715,536

3,715,536

Equity securities, AFS
197,687

197,687

192,771

192,771

Short-term investments
137,733

137,733

174,251

174,251

Financial Liabilities




Notes payable:




2.90% borrowings from FHLBI
13,000

13,243

13,000

13,319

1.25% borrowings from FHLBI
45,000

45,226

45,000

45,259

7.25% Senior Notes
49,917

53,065

49,916

50,887

6.70% Senior Notes
99,503

102,810

99,498

98,247

5.875% Senior Notes
185,000

165,316

185,000

146,298

Total notes payable
$
392,420

379,660

392,414

354,010

The fair values of our financial assets and liabilities are generated using various valuation techniques and are placed into the fair value hierarchy considering the following: (i) the highest priority is given to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets (Level 1); (ii) the next highest priority is given to quoted prices in markets that are not active or inputs that are observable either directly or indirectly, including quoted prices for similar assets in markets that are not active and other inputs that can be derived principally from, or corroborated by, observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets (Level 2); and (iii) the lowest priority is given to unobservable inputs supported by little or no market activity and that reflect our assumptions about the exit price, including assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset (Level 3). An asset or liability's classification within the fair value hierarchy is based on the lowest level of significant input to its valuation. Transfers between levels in the fair value hierarchy are recognized at the end of the reporting period.

For a discussion of the techniques used to value the majority of our financial assets and liabilities, refer to Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies" in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2013 Annual Report.


14


The following tables provide quantitative disclosures of our financial assets that were measured at fair value at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 :
March 31, 2014
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
Assets
Measured at
Fair Value
at 3/31/2014
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities (Level 1) 1
Significant Other
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2) 1
Significant Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Description




Measured on a recurring basis:




AFS:
U.S. government and government agencies
$
171,065

51,796

119,269


Foreign government
32,421


32,421


Obligations of states and political subdivisions
979,167


979,167


Corporate securities
1,815,698


1,815,698


ABS
131,934


131,934


CMBS
174,816


174,816


RMBS
510,752


510,752


Total AFS fixed income securities
3,815,853

51,796

3,764,057


Equity securities
197,687

194,787


2,900

Total AFS Securities
4,013,540

246,583

3,764,057

2,900

Short-term investments
137,733

137,733



Total assets measured at fair value
$
4,151,273

384,316

3,764,057


2,900

1
There were no transfers of securities between Level 1 and Level 2.

December 31, 2013
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
Assets
Measured at
Fair Value
at 12/31/13
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/Liabilities
(Level 1) 1
Significant
Other Observable
Inputs
(Level 2) 1
Significant Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Description




Measured on a recurring basis:




AFS:
U.S. government and government agencies
$
173,375

52,153

121,222


Foreign government
30,615


30,615


Obligations of states and political subdivisions
951,624


951,624


Corporate securities
1,734,883


1,734,883


ABS
140,896


140,896


CMBS
171,284


171,284


RMBS
512,859


512,859


Total AFS fixed income securities
3,715,536

52,153

3,663,383


Equity securities
192,771

189,871


2,900

Total AFS Securities
3,908,307

242,024

3,663,383

2,900

Short-term investments
174,251

174,251



Total assets measured at fair value
$
4,082,558

416,275

3,663,383

2,900

1
There were no transfers of securities between Level 1 and Level 2.


15


There have been no changes in the fair value of securities measured using Level 3 prices during First Quarter 2014. The following table provides a summary of these changes during 2013 :
December 31, 2013
($ in thousands)
Government
Corporate
ABS
CMBS
Equity
Receivable for
Proceeds
Related to Sale
of Selective HR Solutions ("Selective HR")
Total
Fair value, December 31, 2012
$
19,789

2,946

6,068

7,162

3,607

2,705

42,277

Total net (losses) gains for the period included in:





OCI 1
(537
)
(7
)
(74
)
772

3,935


4,089

Net income 2,3
(76
)


361


(1,480
)
(1,195
)
Purchases







Sales







Issuances







Settlements
(1,847
)
(168
)

(2,420
)

(225
)
(4,660
)
Transfers into Level 3







Transfers out of Level 3
(17,329
)
(2,771
)
(5,994
)
(5,875
)
(4,642
)
(1,000
)
(37,611
)
Fair value, December 31, 2013
$

$

$

$

$
2,900

$

$
2,900

1 Amounts are reported in “Unrealized holding (losses) gains arising during period” on the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income in our 2013 Annual Report .
2 Amounts are reported in “Net realized gains” for realized gains and losses and “Net investment income earned” for amortization of securities on the Consolidated Statements of Income in our 2013 Annual Report .
3 For the receivable related to the sale of Selective HR, amounts in "Loss on disposal of discontinued operations, net of tax" relate to an impairment charge and amounts in "Other income" relate to interest accretion on the Consolidated Statements of Income in our 2013 Annual Report .

As discussed in Note 2. "Summary of Significant Accounting Policies," in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." in our 2013 Annual Report, the fair value of our Level 3 fixed income securities is typically obtained through non-binding broker quotes based on unobservable inputs, which we review for reasonableness. There were no fixed income securities measured using Level 3 inputs at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 . However, in 2013 , fixed income securities with a fair value of $32.0 million were transferred out of Level 3 during the year due to the availability of Level 2 pricing at December 31, 2013 that was not available previously.

Equity securities with fair values of $2.9 million were measured using Level 3 inputs at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 . An equity security with a fair value of $4.6 million was transferred out of Level 3 during 2013 due to the availability of Level 2 pricing at the date of transfer. In addition, the receivable related to the sale of Selective HR was settled during 2013 and as a result was also transferred out of Level 3.





16


The following tables provide quantitative information regarding our financial assets and liabilities that were disclosed at fair value at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 :
March 31, 2014
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
Assets/
Liabilities
Disclosed at
Fair Value at 3/31/2014
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)
Significant Other
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Financial Assets




HTM:




Foreign government
$
5,552


5,552


Obligations of states and political subdivisions
364,307


364,307


Corporate securities
24,464


24,464


ABS
3,366


3,366


CMBS
5,847


5,847


Total HTM fixed income securities
$
403,536


403,536


Financial Liabilities




Notes payable:




2.90% borrowings from FHLBI
$
13,243


13,243


1.25% borrowings from FHLBI
45,226


45,226


7.25% Senior Notes
53,065


53,065


6.70% Senior Notes
102,810


102,810


5.875% Senior Notes
165,316

165,316



Total notes payable
$
379,660

165,316

214,344



December 31, 2013
Fair Value Measurements Using
($ in thousands)
Assets/
Liabilities
Disclosed at
Fair Value at 12/31/2013
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets for
Identical Assets/
Liabilities
(Level 1)
Significant Other
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Financial Assets




HTM:



Foreign government
$
5,591


5,591


Obligations of states and political subdivisions
369,756


369,756


Corporate securities
30,274


30,274


ABS
3,415


3,415


CMBS
7,945


7,945


Total HTM fixed income securities
$
416,981


416,981


Financial Liabilities

Notes payable:

2.90% borrowings from FHLBI
$
13,319


13,319


1.25% borrowings from FHLBI
45,259


45,259


7.25% Senior Notes
50,887


50,887


6.70% Senior Notes
98,247


98,247


5.875% Senior Notes
146,298

146,298



Total notes payable
$
354,010

146,298

207,712



17



NOTE 7. Reinsurance
The following table contains a listing of direct, assumed, and ceded reinsurance amounts for premiums written, premiums earned, and loss and loss expenses incurred for the periods indicated. For more information concerning reinsurance, refer to Note 8. “Reinsurance” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2013 Annual Report .
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Premiums written:


Direct
$
557,891

528,816

Assumed
7,850

8,482

Ceded
(88,991
)
(87,174
)
Net
$
476,750

450,124

Premiums earned:


Direct
$
536,700

494,066

Assumed
10,185

12,463

Ceded
(90,390
)
(85,589
)
Net
$
456,495

420,940

Loss and loss expense incurred:


Direct
$
358,349

365,646

Assumed
7,479

9,074

Ceded
(45,282
)
(104,871
)
Net
$
320,546

269,849

The growth in direct premium written ("DPW") for our ten insurance subsidiaries ("Insurance Subsidiaries") in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 reflects pure price increases and retention that we have achieved in our Standard Insurance Operations.
Direct premiums earned increases in First Quarter 2014 were consistent with the fluctuation in DPW for the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2014 as compared to the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2013.

The ceded premiums and losses related to our participation in the NFIP, under which 100% of our flood premiums, losses, and loss expenses are ceded to the NFIP, are as follows:
NFIP
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Ceded premiums written
$
(57,303
)
(56,707
)
Ceded premiums earned
(58,286
)
(55,327
)
Ceded loss and loss expense incurred
(7,379
)
(76,176
)

18



NOTE 8. Segment Information
The disaggregated results of our three operating segments are used by senior management to manage our operations. These segments are evaluated based on the following:
Our Standard Insurance Operations segment and our E&S Insurance Operations segment are evaluated based on statutory underwriting results (net premiums earned, incurred loss and loss expenses, policyholders dividends, policy acquisition costs, and other underwriting expenses), and statutory combined ratios; and
Our Investments segment is evaluated based on after-tax net investment income and net realized gains and losses.

In computing the results of each segment, we do not make adjustments for interest expense or net general corporate expenses. While we do not fully allocate taxes to all segments, we do allocate taxes to our investments segment as we manage that segment on after-tax results. We do not maintain separate investment portfolios for the segments and therefore, do not allocate assets to the segments.

In First Quarter 2014 , we sold the renewal rights to our $38 million self-insured group, or "SIG," book of business within the Standard Insurance Operations segment. We decided to opportunistically sell this very small and specialized book of pooled business as a significant portion of the business was produced outside of our standard lines footprint, and proved difficult to grow. As this was a renewal rights sale, we will continue to service policies that were in force at the date of the sale. We continue to remain active in the municipal and public school marketplace for individual risks that procure traditional insurance programs rather than pooling arrangements. The proceeds from this sale, which amounted to $8 million , are included in "Miscellaneous income" within the table below as a component of the Standard Insurance Operations revenue.

The following summaries present revenues from continuing operations (net investment income and net realized gains on investments in the case of the Investments segment) and pre-tax income from continuing operations for the individual segments:
Revenue by Segment
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Standard Insurance Operations:


Net premiums earned:


Commercial automobile
$
82,216

74,347

Workers compensation
69,413

66,084

General liability
108,818

97,703

Commercial property
60,186

53,415

Businessowners’ policies
20,869

18,540

Bonds
4,756

4,764

Other
3,183

2,992

Total Standard Commercial Lines
349,441

317,845

Personal automobile
38,226

38,393

Homeowners
33,298

31,135

Other
3,294

3,508

Total Standard Personal Lines
74,818

73,036

Total Standard Insurance Operations net premiums earned
424,259

390,881

Miscellaneous income
9,819

2,720

Total Standard Insurance Operations revenue
434,078

393,601

E&S Insurance Operations:
Net premiums earned
32,236

30,059

Investments:


Net investment income
35,534

32,870

Net realized investment gains
7,218

3,355

Total investment revenues
42,752

36,225

Total all segments
509,066

459,885

Other income
5

64

Total revenues from continuing operations
$
509,071

459,949


19


Income from Continuing Operations before Federal Income Tax
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Standard Insurance Operations:


Commercial Lines underwriting (loss) gain
$
(3,630
)
6,102

Personal Lines underwriting (loss) gain
(2,360
)
5,973

Total Standard Insurance Operations underwriting (loss) gain, before federal income tax
(5,990
)
12,075

GAAP combined ratio
101.4
%
96.9
%
Statutory combined ratio
101.1
%
96.8
%
E&S Insurance Operations:
Underwriting gain
975

86

GAAP combined ratio
97.0
%
99.7
%
Statutory combined ratio
97.9
%
98.2
%
Investments:


Net investment income
35,534

32,870

Net realized investment gains
7,218

3,355

Total investment income, before federal income tax
42,752

36,225

Tax on investment income
11,575

9,205

Total investment income, after federal income tax

31,177


27,020

Reconciliation of Segment Results to Income from Continuing Operations,
before Federal Income Tax
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Standard Insurance Operations underwriting (loss) gain, before federal income tax
$
(5,990
)
12,075

E&S Insurance Operations underwriting gain, before federal income tax
975

86

Investment income, before federal income tax
42,752

36,225

Total all segments
37,737

48,386

Interest expense
(5,561
)
(5,831
)
General corporate and other expenses
(7,092
)
(13,687
)
Income from continuing operations, before federal income tax
$
25,084

28,868


NOTE 9. Retirement Plans
The following table shows the net periodic benefit cost related to the Retirement Income Plan for Selective Insurance Company of America (“Retirement Income Plan”) and the life insurance benefits provided to eligible Selective Insurance Company of America retirees (referred to as the "Retirement Life Plan"). For more information concerning these plans, refer to Note 15. “Retirement Plans” in Item 8.“Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2013 Annual Report.
Retirement Income Plan
Quarter ended March 31,
Retirement Life Plan
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
2014
2013
Components of Net Periodic Benefit Cost:




Net Periodic Benefit Cost:
Service cost
$
1,627

2,449



Interest cost
3,254

3,303

73

70

Expected return on plan assets
(3,919
)
(3,848
)


Amortization of unrecognized prior service cost

10



Amortization of unrecognized net actuarial loss
367

1,822

13

18

Curtailment expense

16



Total net periodic cost
$
1,329

3,752

86

88



20


Retirement Income Plan
Quarter ended March 31,
Retirement Life Plan
Quarter ended March 31,
2014
2013
2014
2013
Weighted-Average Expense Assumptions:
Discount rate
5.16
%
4.42
4.85
%
4.42
Expected return on plan assets
6.92

7.40

Rate of compensation increase
4.00

4.00


We presently anticipate contributing $9.8 million to the Retirement Income Plan in 2014, $2.7 million of which has been funded as of March 31, 2014.

NOTE 10. Comprehensive Income
The components of comprehensive income, both gross and net of tax, for First Quarter 2014 and 2013 are as follows:
First Quarter 2014
($ in thousands)
Gross
Tax
Net
Net income
$
25,084

7,110

17,974

Components of OCI:



Unrealized gains on investment securities :



Unrealized holding gains during the period
32,964

11,538

21,426

Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities
(456
)
(160
)
(296
)
Realized gains on AFS securities
(7,229
)
(2,530
)
(4,699
)
Net unrealized gains
25,279

8,848

16,431

Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:



Amounts reclassified into net income:



Net actuarial loss
380

133

247

Prior service cost



Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
380

133

247

Other comprehensive income
25,659

8,981

16,678

Comprehensive income
$
50,743

16,091

34,652


First Quarter 2013
($ in thousands)
Gross
Tax
Net
Net income
$
27,333

6,025

21,308

Components of OCI:



Unrealized gains on investment securities :



Unrealized holding gains during the period
3,684

1,290

2,394

Non-credit OTTI recognized in OCI
30

10

20

Amounts reclassified into net income:
HTM securities
(717
)
(251
)
(466
)
Non-credit OTTI
7

3

4

Realized gains on AFS securities
(5,976
)
(2,092
)
(3,884
)
Net unrealized losses
(2,972
)
(1,040
)
(1,932
)
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans:



Net actuarial losses
44,000

15,400

28,600

Amounts reclassified into net income:



Net actuarial loss
1,840

644

1,196

Prior service cost
10

4

6

Curtailment expense
16

5

11

Defined benefit pension and post-retirement plans
45,866

16,053

29,813

Other comprehensive income
42,894

15,013

27,881

Comprehensive income
$
70,227

21,038

49,189


21


The balances of, and changes in, each component of AOCI (net of taxes) as of March 31, 2014 are as follows:
March 31, 2014
Net Unrealized (Loss) Gain on Investment Securities
($ in thousands)
OTTI
Related
HTM
Related
All
Other
Investments
Subtotal
Defined Benefit
Pension and Post-Retirement Plans
Total AOCI
Balance, December 31, 2013
$
(1,599
)
1,467

51,635

51,503

(26,652
)
24,851

OCI before reclassifications


21,426

21,426


21,426

Amounts reclassified from AOCI

(296
)
(4,699
)
(4,995
)
247

(4,748
)
Net current period OCI

(296
)
16,727

16,431

247

16,678

Balance, March 31, 2014
$
(1,599
)
1,171

68,362

67,934

(26,405
)
41,529


The reclassifications out of AOCI for First Quarter 2014 are as follows:
($ in thousands)
Quarter ended March 31, 2014
Affected Line Item in the Unaudited Consolidated Statement of Income
HTM related
Unrealized losses on HTM disposals
24

Net realized gains
Amortization of net unrealized gains on HTM securities
(480
)
Net investment income earned
(456
)
Income from continuing operations, before federal income tax
160

Total federal income tax expense
(296
)
Net income
Realized gains and losses on AFS
Realized gains on AFS disposals and OTTI
(7,229
)
Net realized gains
(7,229
)
Income from continuing operations, before federal income tax
2,530

Total federal income tax expense
(4,699
)
Net income
Defined benefit pension and post-retirement life plans
Net actuarial loss
87

Loss and loss expense incurred
293

Policy acquisition costs
Total defined benefit pension and post-retirement life plans
380

Income from continuing operations, before federal income tax
(133
)
Total federal income tax expense
247

Net income
Total reclassifications for the period
$
(4,748
)
Net income



22


Note 11. Litigation
In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are named as defendants in various legal proceedings. Most of these proceedings are claims litigation involving our Insurance Subsidiaries as either: (i) liability insurers defending or providing indemnity for third-party claims brought against insureds; or (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought against them. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid loss and loss expense reserves. We expect that the ultimate liability, if any, with respect to such ordinary course claims litigation, after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense, will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows.
Our Insurance Subsidiaries are also from time to time involved in other legal actions, some of which assert claims for substantial amounts. These actions include, among others, putative class actions seeking certification of a state or national class. Such putative class actions have alleged, for example, improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies. Our Insurance Subsidiaries also are involved from time to time in individual actions in which extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties are sought, such as claims alleging bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these cases. We expect that the ultimate liability, if any, with respect to such lawsuits, after consideration of provisions made for estimated losses, will not be material to our consolidated financial condition. Nonetheless, given the large or indeterminate amounts sought in certain of these actions, and the inherent unpredictability of litigation, an adverse outcome in certain matters could, from time to time, have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.



23


ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Forward-Looking Statements
In this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, we discuss and make statements regarding our intentions, beliefs, current expectations, and projections regarding our company’s future operations and performance. Such statements are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are often identified by words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “will,” “should,” and “intends” and their negatives. We caution prospective investors that such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Risks and uncertainties are inherent in our future performance. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those discussed under Item 1A. “Risk Factors” below in Part II “Other Information.” These risk factors may not be exhaustive. We operate in a continually changing business environment and new risk factors emerge from time to time. We can neither predict such new risk factors nor can we assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our businesses or the extent to which any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements in this report. In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events discussed in this report might not occur. We make forward-looking statements based on currently available information and assume no obligation to update these statements due to changes in underlying factors, new information, future developments, or otherwise.
Introduction
We classify our business into three operating segments:
Our Standard Insurance Operations segment, which is comprised of both commercial lines ("Commercial Lines") and personal lines ("Personal Lines") business, sells property and casualty insurance products and services in the standard market, including flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program's ("NFIPs") write-your-own ("WYO") program;
Our E&S Insurance Operations segment sells Commercial Lines property and casualty insurance products and services to insureds who have not obtained coverage in the standard market; and
Our Investments segment, which invests the premiums collected by our Standard and E&S Insurance Operations and amounts generated through our capital management strategies, which may include the issuance of debt and equity securities.
Our Standard Insurance Operations products and services are sold through nine subsidiaries that write Commercial Lines and Personal Lines business, some of which write flood business through the NFIP's WYO program.
Our E&S Insurance Operations products and services are sold through one subsidiary. This subsidiary, Mesa Underwriters Specialty Insurance Company ("MUSIC"), provides us with a nationally-authorized non-admitted platform to write commercial and personal E&S lines business.
Our ten insurance subsidiaries are collectively referred to as the "Insurance Subsidiaries."
The purpose of Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) is to provide an understanding of the consolidated results of operations and financial condition and known trends and uncertainties that may have a material impact in future periods. Consequently, investors should read the MD&A in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements in our 2013 Annual Report filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC").
In the MD&A, we will discuss and analyze the following:
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates;
Financial Highlights of Results for First Quarter 2014 and First Quarter 2013;
Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment;
Federal Income Taxes;
Financial Condition, Liquidity, Short-term Borrowings, and Capital Resources;
Ratings;
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements; and
Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments.

24




Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
These unaudited interim consolidated financial statements include amounts based on our informed estimates and judgments for those transactions that are not yet complete. Such estimates and judgments affect the reported amounts in the consolidated financial statements. Those estimates and judgments most critical to the preparation of the consolidated financial statements involve the following: (i) reserves for loss and loss expenses; (ii) pension and post-retirement benefit plan actuarial assumptions; (iii) other-than-temporary investment impairments; and (iv) reinsurance. These estimates and judgments require the use of assumptions about matters that are highly uncertain and, therefore, are subject to change as facts and circumstances develop. If different estimates and judgments had been applied, materially different amounts might have been reported in the financial statements. For additional information regarding our critical accounting policies, refer to our 2013 Annual Report , pages 44 through 52.
Financial Highlights of Results for First Quarter 2014 and First Quarter 2013 1
Quarter ended March 31,
($ and shares in thousands, except per share amounts)
2014
2013
Change
% or Points
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP") measures:
Revenues
$
509,071

459,949

11

%
Pre-tax net investment income
35,534

32,870

8

Pre-tax net income
25,084

27,333

(8
)
Net income
17,974

21,308

(16
)
Diluted net income per share
0.31

0.38

(18
)
Diluted weighted-average outstanding shares
57,172

56,455

1

GAAP combined ratio
101.1
%
97.1

4.0

pts
Statutory combined ratio 2
100.8
%
96.8

4.0

Return on average equity
6.1
%
7.7

(1.6
)
Non-GAAP measures:
Operating income 3
$
13,283

20,124

(34
)
%
Diluted operating income per share 3
0.23

0.36

(36
)
Operating return on average equity 3
4.5
%
7.2

(2.7
)
pts
1
Refer to the Glossary of Terms attached to our 2013 Annual Report as Exhibit 99.1 for definitions of terms used in this Form 10-Q.
2
The statutory combined ratio for First Quarter 2013 included 1.3 points related to the Retirement Income Plan amendments that curtailed the accrual of additional benefits for all eligible employees participating in the plans after March 31, 2016.
3
Operating income is used as an important financial measure by us, analysts, and investors, because the realization of investment gains and losses on sales in any given period is largely discretionary as to timing. In addition, these realized investment gains and losses, as well as other-than-temporary impairments (“OTTI”) that are charged to earnings and the results of discontinued operations, could distort the analysis of trends. See below for a reconciliation of operating income to net income in accordance with GAAP. Operating return on average equity is calculated by dividing annualized operating income by average stockholders’ equity.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods presented above:
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
2014
2013
Operating income
$
13,283

20,124

Net realized gains, net of tax
4,691

2,181

Loss on disposal of discontinued operations, net of tax

(997
)
Net income
$
17,974

21,308

Diluted operating income per share
$
0.23

0.36

Diluted net realized gains per share
0.08

0.04

Diluted net loss from disposal of discontinued operations per share

(0.02
)
Diluted net income per share
$
0.31

0.38



25


Over the long term, we target a return on average equity that is three points higher than our cost of capital, or 12%, excluding the impact of realized gains and losses, which is referred to as operating return on average equity. Our operating return on average equity was 4.5% in First Quarter 2014 compared to 7.2% in First Quarter 2013. Our operating return on average equity contribution by component is as follows:
Operating Return on Average Equity
Quarter ended March 31,
2014
2013
Standard Insurance Operations
(1.3
)%
2.8
%
E&S Insurance Operations
0.2
%

Investments
9.1
%
8.9
%
Other
(3.5
)%
(4.5
)%
Total
4.5
%
7.2
%

Our operating return on average equity in First Quarter 2014 reflects a higher GAAP combined ratio of 101.1% compared to 97.1% in First Quarter 2013. Extreme winter weather was a significant driver of our First Quarter 2014 results. Information concerning these property losses, as well as other variances are as follows:
Catastrophe losses for First Quarter 2014 were $34 million, or 7.5 points, compared to $1.6 million, or 0.4 points, in First Quarter 2013. The majority of these catastrophe losses were attributed to weather events defined by Insurance Services Office property claims service ("PCS") as CATs 31 and 32 in January, which brought freezing temperatures and snowstorms to our 22-state standard lines footprint.

Non-catastrophe property losses in First Quarter 2014 that were at one of the highest levels that we have experienced in recent years. The impact varied by line but, for both standard lines and E&S, non-catastrophe property losses for First Quarter 2014 were approximately $91 million, or 20 points, on our total combined ratio. This was about 5 points higher than First Quarter 2013 and 6 points higher than the non-catastrophe property loss quarterly average over the last three-year period. These non-catastrophe property losses were primarily the result of roof collapses, frozen pipes, and fires which were often related to the extreme weather experienced throughout our footprint states.

Partially offsetting these losses were:
Renewal pure price increases of 7.6% that we achieved in full-year 2013, which are currently earning in at about 7.3%. This earned rate is above the loss cost trend of approximately 3%. After taking into account the incremental expenses associated with the additional premium, the net benefit to the combined ratio is about 2.5 points.

Favorable prior year casualty development in First Quarter 2014 that was $14 million, or 3.1 points, compared to favorable prior year casualty development of $2 million, or 0.4 points, in First Quarter 2013. We experienced stable workers compensation trends in the quarter with no development either favorable or unfavorable. The level of releases in First Quarter 2014 was driven by improving claim trends within our general liability line of business for the 2009 through 2012 accident years.

$8 million, or 1.8 points, in other income for the March 2014 sale of the renewal rights to our self-insured group, or "SIG," book of pooled public entity business. Although we did not solicit buyers, we decided to sell this very small and specialized book of business when the opportunity presented itself because it had significant production outside of our standard lines footprint, and proved difficult to grow. We, however, have retained our substantial individual risk public entity book of business and we will continue to look for opportunities to grow it.

The remaining fluctuation in our operating return on average equity was driven by reduced corporate expenses that included the following: (i) the First Quarter 2013 redemption of our previously outstanding 7.50% Junior Subordinated Notes due 2066, that resulted in capitalized debt issue costs of $3.3 million, pre-tax, being charged to expense; and (ii) reduced long-term employee compensation expense associated with changes in our stock price. These items are captured within the "Other" component in the table above.

26


The following table provides a quantitative foundation for analyzing our overall Insurance Subsidiaries' underwriting results:
All Lines
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change % or Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
Net premiums written ("NPW")
$
476,750

450,124

6

%
Net premiums earned (“NPE”)
456,495

420,940

8

Less:

Loss and loss expense incurred
320,546

269,849

19

Net underwriting expenses incurred
139,726

137,844

1

Dividends to policyholders
1,238

1,086

14

Underwriting (loss) gain
$
(5,015
)
12,161

(141
)
%
GAAP Ratios:

Loss and loss expense ratio
70.2

%
64.1

6.1

pts
Underwriting expense ratio
30.6

32.7

(2.1
)
Dividends to policyholders ratio
0.3

0.3


Combined ratio
101.1

97.1

4.0

Statutory Ratios:

Loss and loss expense ratio 1
70.2

64.1

6.1

Underwriting expense ratio 1
30.3

32.4

(2.1
)
Dividends to policyholders ratio
0.3

0.3


Combined ratio 1
100.8

%
96.8

4.0

pts
1 Statutory ratios for First Quarter 2013 included 0.3 points in the loss and loss expense ratio, 1.0 points in the underwriting ratio, and 1.3 points in the combined ratio related to the Retirement Income Plan amendments that curtailed the accrual of additional benefits for all eligible employees participating in the plans after March 31, 2016.

The growth in NPW for our Insurance Subsidiaries in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 was primarily driven by renewal pure price increases and strong retention in our Standard Commercial Lines Insurance Operations.

NPE increases in First Quarter 2014 were consistent with the fluctuations in NPW for the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2014 compared to the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2013.

The increase in the combined ratio for First Quarter 2014 was primarily driven by property results that were impacted by extreme winter weather. For a discussion on these property losses as well as other variances, see the discussion above.

Outlook
In their 2013 year-end review, dated February 4, 2014, A.M. Best and Company ("A.M. Best") projected an industry combined ratio of 99.4% for 2014. Their report cited: "In looking ahead to 2014, A.M. Best expects premiums to continue growing through price increases, but the pace of these rate changes are expected to slow and temper growth in premium." Underwriting results should improve slightly on the rate level achieved in recent years, although less favorable development of prior years’ loss reserves is anticipated. In addition, a more normal level of catastrophe losses could increase combined ratios by almost 200 basis points, and the industry will continue to be challenged by the relatively low investment yields that are expected to persist through 2014, as well as the slow recovery from the recession of 2007 through 2009.

Although A.M. Best is continuing to maintain its negative outlook for the commercial lines market reflecting "the uncertainty around loss-reserve development and continued low profit margins driven by low investment yields," it anticipates a 99.9% statutory combined ratio driven by: (i) a more normal level of catastrophe losses; (ii) less favorable loss-reserve development; and (iii) loss trends that are partially offset by lower pricing. For personal lines, A.M. Best maintains a stable outlook in the coming year reflecting ongoing stability of the auto line and successful carriers continuing to enhance the granularity of their home pricing models. Standard & Poor's ("S&P"), while maintaining a stable outlook on the property and casualty industry, believes that "rate increases will lose steam and fail to outpace loss cost trends" in 2014.

In early 2012, we laid out a three-year plan to achieve overall annual renewal pure price increases of 5% to 8%. Our expectation for full-year 2014 is 6% to 7%, and we achieved 6.4% in First Quarter 2014. In addition, we are revising our previously disclosed expectations for our Standard Personal Lines and our E&S Lines as we are currently expecting this business, as well as our Standard Commercial Lines business, to each achieve renewal pure price increases of 6% to 7% for

27


full-year 2014. In our Standard Commercial Lines, we have achieved renewal pure price increases for 20 consecutive quarters, including 6.4% for First Quarter 2014, 7.6% for full-year 2013, and 6.3% for full-year 2012. The 7.6% renewal pure price increase in 2013 translated into earned price increases of 7.3% in First Quarter 2014 which is above loss cost trends of approximately 3%. The 6% to 7% overall renewal pure price increases that we expect to achieve in 2014 are also above loss cost trends, and will continue to add to profitability in 2015. Furthermore in First Quarter 2014, we achieved renewal pure price increases of 6.8% in our Standard Personal Lines, and 4.1% in our E&S Lines.

Our First Quarter 2014 statutory combined ratio, excluding catastrophes, was 93.3%, which is in line with our stated full-year 2014 goal of 92%. The catastrophe losses in First Quarter 2014 of $34 million added 7.5 points to our statutory combined ratio, compared to our full-year catastrophe loss expectation of four points. This increased level of catastrophe losses was related to extreme winter weather, primarily driven by weather events defined by PCS as CATs 31 and 32 in January.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Notes fell by 31 basis points in First Quarter 2014. The continued low interest rate environment has several significant impacts on our business, some of which are beneficial and some of which present a challenge to us. The benefits include lower inflation rates that suppress loss trends, as well as reduce our cost of capital. However, the interest rate environment presents a significant challenge in generating after-tax return on our investment portfolio as fixed income securities mature and money is re-invested at lower rates. Because maturing and called bonds generally carry a higher book yield than is available in the current market, we expect the yield on the overall investment portfolio to continue to decline, albeit at a less significant pace than we have been experiencing.

In 2014, we expect to generate:
A full-year combined ratio of 92% excluding catastrophe losses and assuming no additional prior year casualty reserve development;
Four points of catastrophe losses for the year;
After-tax investment income of approximately $100 million; and
Weighted-average shares of approximately 57.4 million.

28



Results of Operations and Related Information by Segment

Insurance Operations
Standard Insurance Operations
Our Standard Insurance Operations segment, which represents 93% of our combined insurance operations NPW, sells insurance products and services primarily in 22 states in the Eastern and Midwestern U.S. and the District of Columbia, through approximately 1,100 independent retail insurance agencies. This segment consists of two components: (i) Commercial Lines, which markets primarily to businesses and represents approximately 83% of the segment's NPW; and (ii) Personal Lines, including our flood business, which markets primarily to individuals and represents approximately 17% of the segment's NPW.
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change
% or
Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:
NPW
$
446,688

421,744

6

%
NPE
424,259

390,881

9

Less:

Loss and loss expense incurred
300,666

250,731

20

Net underwriting expenses incurred
128,345

126,989

1

Dividends to policyholders
1,238

1,086

14

Underwriting (loss) gain
$
(5,990
)
12,075

(150
)
%
GAAP Ratios:

Loss and loss expense ratio
70.9

%
64.1

6.8

pts
Underwriting expense ratio
30.2

32.5

(2.3
)
Dividends to policyholders ratio
0.3

0.3


Combined ratio
101.4

96.9

4.5

Statutory Ratios:

Loss and loss expense ratio 1
70.9

64.2

6.7

Underwriting expense ratio 1
29.9

32.3

(2.4
)
Dividends to policyholders ratio
0.3

0.3


Combined ratio 1
101.1

%
96.8

4.3

pts
1
Statutory ratios for First Quarter 2013 included 0.3 points in the loss and loss expense ratio, 1.1 points in the underwriting ratio, and 1.4 points in the combined ratio related to the Retirement Income Plan amendments that curtailed the accrual of additional benefits for all eligible employees participating in the plans after March 31, 2016.

The improvements in NPW in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 include the following:
Quarter ended March 31, 2014
Quarter ended March 31, 2013
($ in millions)
Renewal Pure Price Increase
Retention
Renewal Pure Price Increase
Retention
Standard Commercial Lines
6.4
%
84
%
7.5
%
83
%
Standard Personal Lines
6.8
82
8.5
87

The decrease in the Standard Personal Lines retention was driven by targeted actions that we have taken to reduce our exposure to certain coverages that have historically been less profitable for us. Excluding the impact of these targeted actions, retention remains strong and comparable to last year.

NPE increases in First Quarter 2014 were consistent with the fluctuations in NPW for the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2014 as compared to the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2013.


29


The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio increased 6.8 points in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013. The increase in this ratio was primarily driven by extreme winter weather, including: (i) an increased level of catastrophe losses; and (ii) higher non-catastrophe property losses. These losses were partially offset by: (i) Standard Insurance Operations renewal pure price increases that amounted to 6.5% in First Quarter 2014 and 7.6% in full year 2013, the earning of which exceeds our 3% projected loss trend; and (ii) favorable prior year casualty reserve development. Quantitative information regarding the property losses and the reserve development is as follows:
First Quarter 2014
First Quarter 2013
($ in millions)
Loss and Loss Expense Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
Loss and Loss Expense Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
Change in Ratio
Catastrophe losses
$
34.2

8.1

pts
1.3

0.3

pts
7.8

Non-catastrophe property losses
86.2

20.3

60.7

15.5

4.8

Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
(14.0
)
(3.3
)
(2.5
)
(0.6
)
(2.7
)

The breakdown of favorable prior year casualty reserve development in our Standard Insurance Operations by line of business is as follows:
Favorable/(Unfavorable) Prior Year Casualty Reserve Development
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in millions)
2014
2013
General liability
$
11.0

4.0

Commercial automobile


Workers compensation

(7.5
)
Businessowners' policies
1.0

3.0

Homeowners

1.5

Personal automobile
2.0

1.0

Other
$

0.5

Total favorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
14.0

2.5

Favorable impact on loss ratio
3.3

pts
0.6

pts

Favorable prior year casualty reserve development of $14 million in First Quarter 2014 was driven by improving claim trends for the 2009 through 2012 accident years on our general liability line of business. Excluding the impact of the workers compensation line of business prior year development in First Quarter 2013, the remainder of the casualty lines experienced a level of development comparable in First Quarter 2014 to First Quarter 2013.

The improvement in the GAAP underwriting expense ratio of 2.3 points in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 was primarily driven by income generated from the renewal rights sale of our SIG book of business for $8 million, or 1.9 points. For additional information regarding the sale, see Note 8. “Segment Information” in Item 1. “Financial Statements” of this Form 10-Q.


30


Review of Underwriting Results by Line of Business
Standard Commercial Lines
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change
% or
Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:



NPW
$
379,350

353,189

7

%
NPE
349,441

317,845

10

Less:


Loss and loss expense incurred
242,639

203,139

19

Net underwriting expenses incurred
109,194

107,518

2

Dividends to policyholders
1,238

1,086

14

Underwriting (loss) gain
$
(3,630
)
6,102

159

%
GAAP Ratios:



Loss and loss expense ratio
69.4

%
63.9

5.5

pts
Underwriting expense ratio
31.2

33.9

(2.7
)
Dividends to policyholders ratio
0.4

0.3

0.1

Combined ratio
101.0

98.1

2.9

Statutory Ratios:



Loss and loss expense ratio 1
69.4

63.9

5.5

Underwriting expense ratio 1
30.5

33.4

(2.9
)
Dividends to policyholders ratio
0.4

0.3

0.1

Combined ratio 1
100.3

%
97.6

2.7

pts
1 Statutory ratios for First Quarter 2013 included 0.4 points in the loss and loss expense ratio, 1.0 points in the underwriting ratio, and 1.4 points in the combined ratio related to the Retirement Income Plan amendments that curtailed the accrual of additional benefits for all employees eligible to participate in the plans after March 31, 2016.

The increase in NPW in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 is primarily the result of the following:
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in millions)
2014
2013
Retention
84
%
83
Renewal pure price increases
6.4
7.5

NPE increases in First Quarter 2014 were consistent with the fluctuations in NPW for the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2014 compared to the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2013.

The GAAP loss and loss expense ratio increased 5.5 points in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 driven by extreme winter weather, including: (i) an increased level of catastrophe losses; and (ii) higher non-catastrophe property losses. These losses were partially offset by the following: (i) renewal pure price increases that averaged 6.4% in First Quarter 2014 and 7.6% in full-year 2013, the earning of which exceeds our projected loss trend of approximately 3%; and (ii) favorable prior year casualty reserve development. Quantitative information regarding the property losses and the reserve development is as follows:
First Quarter 2014
First Quarter 2013
($ in millions)
Losses Incurred
Impact on
Loss Ratio
Losses
Incurred
Impact on
Loss Ratio
Change in Ratio
Catastrophe losses
$
25.9

7.4

pts
0.7

0.2

pts
7.2

pts
Non-catastrophe property losses
58.8

16.8

37.0

11.6

5.2

Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
(12.0
)
(3.5
)
(0.5
)
(0.1
)
(3.4
)

The improvement in the GAAP underwriting expense ratio of 2.7 points in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 was primarily driven by the income generated from the renewal rights sale of our SIG book of business for $8 million, or 2.3 points. For additional information regarding the sale, see Note 8. “Segment Information” in Item 1. “Financial Statements” of this Form 10-Q.

31



The following is a discussion of our most significant standard Commercial Lines of business and their respective statutory results:
General Liability
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change
% or
Points
Statutory NPW
$
119,504

109,405

9

%
Direct new business
19,835

19,781


Retention
84

%
83

1

pts
Renewal pure price increases
7.6

%
8.5

(0.9
)
Statutory NPE
108,818

97,703

11

%
Statutory combined ratio
80.7

%
95.9

(15.2
)
pts
% of total statutory standard Commercial Lines NPW
32

%
31


The growth in NPW and NPE for our general liability business in First Quarter 2014 reflects renewal pure price increases and strong retention.

The statutory combined ratio improvement for First Quarter 2014 was driven by renewal pure price increases of 7.6% that continue to outpace loss cost trends on this line as well as the following:
First Quarter 2014
First Quarter 2013
($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
Change
Points
Favorable prior year casualty reserve development
$
(11.0
)
(10.1
)
pts
(4.0
)
(4.1
)
pts
(6.0
)
pts
Sale of SIG renewal rights
(2.1
)
(1.8
)


(1.8
)
Retirement Income Plan curtailment charge


1.4

1.3

(1.3
)
Commercial Automobile
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change
% or
Points
Statutory NPW
$
89,122

81,872

9

%
Direct new business
14,806

14,904

(1
)
Retention
83

%
83


pts
Renewal pure price increases
6.2

%
7.0

(0.8
)
Statutory NPE
82,216

74,347

11

%
Statutory combined ratio
94.9

%
98.0

(3.1
)
pts
% of total statutory standard Commercial Lines NPW
23

%
23


The growth in NPW and NPE for our commercial automobile business in First Quarter 2014 reflects renewal pure price increases and strong retention.

The statutory combined ratio improvement for First Quarter 2014 is primarily driven by the following: (i) earned price increases that are outpacing loss costs on this line of business; (ii) income of 1.7 points related to the the renewal rights sale of our SIG book of business; and (iii) the Retirement Income Plan curtailment charge that increased the overall combined ratio by 1.3 points for First Quarter 2013.

32


Workers Compensation
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change
% or
Points
Statutory NPW
$
75,971

75,405

1

%
Direct new business
13,658

13,879

(2
)
Retention
82

%
82


pts
Renewal pure price increases
4.9

%
8.1

(3.2
)
Statutory NPE
69,413

66,084

5

%
Statutory combined ratio
105.9

%
118.9

(13.0
)
pts
% of total statutory standard Commercial Lines NPW
20

%
21



First Quarter 2014 NPW remained consistent with First Quarter 2013. NPE increases in First Quarter 2014 were consistent with the fluctuations in NPW for the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2014 compared to the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2013.

While we continue to view workers compensation in the context of an overall account, we remain very focused on improving this competitive line of business through underwriting, where we achieved renewal pure price increases of 4.9% for First Quarter 2014. We are applying all the underwriting tools we have to move pricing higher and write the best risks. We also have a number of claims initiatives aimed at proactively managing return-to-work programs and higher severity claims.

The improvement in the statutory combined ratio was primarily attributable to the following:
First Quarter 2014
First Quarter 2013
($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
Change
Points
Unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development
$


pts
$
7.4

11.1

pts
(11.1
)
pts
Sale of SIG renewal rights
(1.5
)
(2.0
)


(2.0
)
Retirement Income Plan curtailment charge


1.2

1.7

(1.7
)

The First Quarter 2013 unfavorable prior year casualty reserve development was primarily driven by development on the 2012 accident year and a single large claim prior to 2003.
Commercial Property
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change
% or
Points
Statutory NPW
$
64,096

57,760

11

%
Direct new business
14,495

14,385

1

Retention
83

%
82

1

pts
Renewal pure price increases
5.5

%
5.6

(0.1
)
Statutory NPE
60,186

53,415

13

%
Statutory combined ratio
131.4

%
86.6

44.8

pts
% of total statutory standard Commercial Lines NPW
17

%
16



NPW and NPE increased in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 primarily due to renewal pure price increases and strong retention.


33


The increase in the statutory combined ratio in First Quarter 2014 compared to the same prior year period was due to:
First Quarter 2014
First Quarter 2013
($ in millions)
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
(Benefit) Expense
Impact on
Combined Ratio
Change
% or
Points
Catastrophe losses
$
18.9

31.5

pts
1.8

3.4
pts
28.1

pts
Non-catastrophe property losses
36.4

60.5

20.6

38.6
21.9

Sale of SIG renewal rights
(1.4
)
(2.2
)

(2.2
)
Retirement Income Plan curtailment charge


0.8

1.5
(1.5
)

Standard Personal Lines
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change
% or
Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:



NPW
$
67,338

68,555

(2
)
%
NPE
74,818

73,036

2

Less:

Loss and loss expense incurred
58,027

47,592

22

Net underwriting expenses incurred
19,151

19,471

(2
)
Underwriting (loss) gain
$
(2,360
)
5,973

(140
)
%
GAAP Ratios:

Loss and loss expense ratio
77.6

%
65.2

12.4

pts
Underwriting expense ratio
25.6

26.6

(1.0
)
Combined ratio
103.2

91.8

11.4

Statutory Ratios:

Loss and loss expense ratio 1
77.6

65.3

12.3

Underwriting expense ratio 1
26.9

27.1

(0.2
)
Combined ratio 1
104.5

%
92.4

12.1

pts
1 Statutory ratios for First Quarter 2013 included 0.1 points in the loss and loss expense ratio, 1.2 points in the underwriting ratio, and 1.3 points in the combined ratio related to the Retirement Income Plan amendments that curtailed the accrual of additional benefits for all employees eligible to participate in the plans after March 31, 2016.

The decrease in NPW is primarily driven by a decrease in new business of $1.9 million. Partially offsetting this decrease are the following:
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in millions)
2014
2013
Retention
82
%
87
Renewal pure price increase
6.8
8.5

The decrease in retention was driven by targeted actions that we have taken to reduce our exposure to certain coverages that have historically been less profitable for us. Excluding the impact of these targeted actions, retention remains strong and comparable to last year.

NPE increases in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013, are consistent with the fluctuations in NPW for the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2014 as compared to the twelve-month period ended March 31, 2013.


34


The variance in the loss and loss expense ratios was driven by extreme winter weather, including: (i) an increased level of catastrophe losses; and (ii) higher non-catastrophe property losses. Partially offsetting these losses were renewal pure price increases of 6.8% for First Quarter 2014 and 7.8% for full-year 2013, the earning of which exceeds our projected loss cost trend for the casualty component of our Personal Lines. Quantitative information regarding the property losses are as follows:
First Quarter 2014
First Quarter 2013
($ in millions)
Loss and Loss Expense Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
Loss and Loss
Expense
Incurred
Impact on
Loss and Loss Expense Ratio
Change in Ratio
Catastrophe losses
$
8.3

11.1
pts
0.5

0.7
pts
10.4
pts
Non-catastrophe property losses
27.4

36.6
23.8

32.5
4.1

The improvement in the GAAP underwriting expense ratio was driven by higher direct premiums written in our flood business coupled with an increase in the flood expense allowance for issuing and servicing policies, which results in a larger commission being received from the NFIP year over year.

E&S Insurance Operations
Our E&S Insurance Operations segment, which represents 7% of our combined insurance operations NPW, sells Commercial Lines insurance products and services in all 50 states and the District of Columbia through approximately 85 wholesale general agents. Insurance policies in this segment typically cover business risks with unique characteristics, such as the nature of the business or its claim history, that have not obtained coverage in the standard commercial marketplace. E&S insurers have more flexibility in coverage terms and rates compared to standard market insurers, generally resulting in policies with higher rates, and terms and conditions that are customized for specific risks.
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Change
% or
Points
GAAP Insurance Operations Results:



NPW
$
30,062

28,380

6

%
NPE
32,236

30,059

7

Less:



Loss and loss expense incurred
19,880

19,118

4

Net underwriting expenses incurred
11,381

10,855

5

Underwriting gain
$
975

86

1,034

%
GAAP Ratios:



Loss and loss expense ratio
61.7

%
63.6

(1.9
)
pts
Underwriting expense ratio
35.3

36.1

(0.8
)
Combined ratio
97.0

99.7

(2.7
)
Statutory Ratios:



Loss and loss expense ratio
61.7

63.6

(1.9
)
Underwriting expense ratio
36.2

34.6

1.6

Combined ratio
97.9

%
98.2

(0.3
)
pts

The improvement in the combined ratio in First Quarter 2014 was driven by significant underwriting actions that we have implemented to improve profitability, including achieving new business pricing of 6.4% and renewal pure price increases of 4.1% in First Quarter 2014, partially offset by non-catastrophe property losses that were 6.8 points higher than last year. In addition, on a GAAP basis, the underwriting expense ratio benefited by the impact of a lower than anticipated supplemental commissions payment to wholesale general agents of $1.1 million from First Quarter 2013. While the recognition of this benefit was immediate on a statutory basis, as evident in the lower statutory underwriting expense ratio in First Quarter 2013, the commission adjustment was deferred and amortized as part of policy acquisition costs on a GAAP basis.



35


Investments
Our investment philosophy includes certain return and risk objectives for the fixed income, equity, and other investment portfolios. Although yield and income generation remain the key drivers to our investment strategy, our overall philosophy is to invest with a long-term horizon along with predominantly a “buy-and-hold” approach. The primary fixed income portfolio return objective is to maximize after-tax investment yield and income while balancing risk. A secondary objective is to meet or exceed a weighted-average benchmark of public fixed income indices. Within the equity portfolio, the high dividend yield strategy is designed to generate consistent dividend income while maintaining an expected tracking error to the S&P 500 Index. Additional equity strategies are focused on meeting or exceeding strategy specific benchmarks of public equity indices. The return objective of the other investment portfolio, which includes alternative investments, is to meet or exceed the S&P 500 Index.
Total Invested Assets
($ in thousands)
March 31, 2014
December 31, 2013
Change %
Total invested assets
$
4,640,049

4,583,312

1
%
Unrealized gain – before tax
104,515

79,236

32

Unrealized gain – after tax
67,935

51,504

32

The increase in our investment portfolio compared to year-end 2013 was primarily due to: (i) cash flows provided by operating activities of $35.8 million; and (ii) an increase in pre-tax unrealized gains of $25.3 million . These gains were driven by increases in the market value of our fixed income securities portfolio as interest rates decreased during First Quarter 2014 . During First Quarter 2014 , interest rates on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note fell by 31 basis points. While the decrease in interest rates benefited the unrealized gains on our portfolio, our after-tax purchase yield was only 1.9% during First Quarter 2014, thereby putting pressure on existing investment income yields within the portfolio.

We structure our portfolio conservatively with a focus on: (i) asset diversification; (ii) investment quality; (iii) liquidity, particularly to meet the cash obligations of our insurance operations segments; (iv) consideration of taxes; and (v) preservation of capital. We believe that we have a high quality and liquid investment portfolio. The breakdown of our investment portfolio is as follows:
March 31, 2014
December 31, 2013
U.S. government obligations
4
%
4
Foreign government obligations
1
1
State and municipal obligations
29
28
Corporate securities
39
39
Mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”)
15
15
Asset-backed securities (“ABS”)
3
3
Total fixed income securities
91
90
Equity securities
4
4
Short-term investments
3
4
Other investments
2
2
Total
100
%
100

Fixed Income Securities
The average duration of the fixed income securities portfolio as of March 31, 2014 was 3.5 years, including short-term investments, compared to the Insurance Subsidiaries’ liability duration of approximately 3.8 years. The current duration of the fixed income securities portfolio is within our historical range, and is monitored and managed to maximize yield while managing interest rate risk at an acceptable level. We are experiencing continued pressure on the yields within our fixed income securities portfolio, as higher yielding bonds that are either maturing or have been sold are being replaced with lower yielding bonds that are currently available in the marketplace. We manage liquidity with a laddered maturity structure and an appropriate level of short-term investments to avoid liquidation of available-for-sale ("AFS") fixed income securities in the ordinary course of business. We typically have a long investment time horizon, and every purchase or sale is made with the intent of maximizing risk adjusted investment returns in the current market environment while balancing capital preservation.


36


Our fixed income securities portfolio had a weighted average credit rating of “AA-” as of March 31, 2014. The following table presents the credit ratings of our fixed income securities portfolio:
Fixed Income Security Rating
March 31, 2014
December 31, 2013
Aaa/AAA
16
%
15
Aa/AA
45
45
A/A
25
26
Baa/BBB
13
13
Ba/BB or below
1
1
Total
100
%
100


37


The following table summarizes the fair value, unrealized gain (loss) balances, and the weighted average credit qualities of our AFS fixed income securities at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 :
March 31, 2014
December 31, 2013
($ in millions)
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
Weighted
Average Credit
Quality
Fair
Value
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
Weighted Average Credit Quality
AFS Fixed Income Portfolio:




U.S. government obligations
$
171.1

9.6

AA+
173.4

10.1

AA+
Foreign government obligations
32.4

0.9

AA-
30.6

0.8

AA-
State and municipal obligations
979.2

15.9

AA+
951.6

5.2

AA
Corporate securities
1,815.7

38.5

A
1,734.9

27.0

A
ABS
131.9

0.5

AAA
140.9

0.5

AAA
MBS
685.6

1.9

AA+
684.1

(4.0
)
AA+
Total AFS fixed income portfolio
$
3,815.9

67.3

AA-
3,715.5

39.6

AA-
State and Municipal Obligations:




General obligations
$
478.6

7.2

AA+
472.0

2.6

AA+
Special revenue obligations
500.6

8.7

AA
479.6

2.6

AA
Total state and municipal obligations
$
979.2

15.9

AA+
951.6

5.2

AA
Corporate Securities:




Financial
$
568.5

13.2

A
534.1

11.7

A
Industrials
135.9

4.4

A-
135.1

3.7

A-
Utilities
155.1

1.7

A-
146.5

(0.3
)
A-
Consumer discretionary
213.9

5.1

A-
190.6

2.7

A-
Consumer staples
176.4

3.7

A
171.9

3.0

A
Healthcare
174.7

4.2

A
168.5

3.1

A
Materials
104.1

2.3

A-
101.2

1.4

A-
Energy
104.2

1.7

A-
93.7

0.9

A-
Information technology
125.5

0.7

A+
121.2

(0.6
)
A+
Telecommunications services
50.0

1.1

BBB+
64.7

1.0

BBB+
Other
7.4

0.4

AA+
7.4

0.4

AA+
Total corporate securities
$
1,815.7

38.5

A
1,734.9

27.0

A
ABS:




ABS
$
131.5

0.5

AAA
140.4

0.4

AAA
Sub-prime ABS 1
0.4


D
0.5

0.1

D
Total ABS
131.9

0.5

AAA
140.9

0.5

AAA
MBS:




Government guaranteed agency commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS")
$
24.5

0.5

AA+
30.0

0.9

AA+
Other agency CMBS
10.6

(0.2
)
AA+
9.1

(0.3
)
AA+
Non-agency CMBS
139.7

2.1

AA+
132.2

(1.5
)
AA+
Government guaranteed agency residential MBS ("RMBS")
48.3

1.3

AA+
55.2

1.4

AA+
Other agency RMBS
417.6

(2.3
)
AA+
411.5

(5.1
)
AA+
Non-agency RMBS
40.5

0.4

A-
41.4

0.6

A-
Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) RMBS
4.4

0.1

A
4.7


A
Total MBS
$
685.6

1.9

AA+
684.1

(4.0
)
AA+
1 Subprime ABS consists of one security whose issuer is currently expected by rating agencies to default on its obligations.We define sub-prime exposure as exposure to direct and indirect investments in non-agency residential mortgages with average FICO ® scores below 650.



38


The following tables provide information regarding our held-to-maturity (“HTM”) fixed income securities and their credit qualities at March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 :
March 31, 2014
($ in millions)
Fair
Value
Carry
Value
Unrecognized Holding Gain (Loss)
Unrealized Gain (Loss) in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income ("AOCI")
Total Unrealized/ Unrecognized Gain (Loss)
Weighted Average Credit Quality
HTM Fixed Income Portfolio:





Foreign government obligations
$
5.6

5.4

0.2

0.1

0.3

AA+
State and municipal obligations
364.3

347.9

16.4

3.4

19.8

AA
Corporate securities
24.5

21.6

2.9

(0.3
)
2.6

A+
ABS
3.3

2.7

0.6

(0.6
)

AA+
MBS
5.8

4.5

1.3

(0.8
)
0.5

AAA
Total HTM fixed income portfolio
$
403.5

382.1

21.4

1.8

23.2

AA
State and Municipal Obligations:





General obligations
$
117.5

112.6

4.9

1.7

6.6

AA
Special revenue obligations
246.8

235.3

11.5

1.7

13.2

AA
Total state and municipal obligations
$
364.3

347.9

16.4

3.4

19.8

AA
Corporate Securities:





Financial
$
2.3

1.9

0.4

(0.1
)
0.3

A-
Industrials
7.1

6.0

1.1

(0.2
)
0.9

A+
Utilities
13.6

12.2

1.4


1.4

A+
Consumer discretionary
1.5

1.5




AA
Total corporate securities
$
24.5

21.6

2.9

(0.3
)
2.6

A+
ABS:





ABS
$
0.8

0.8




AA
Alt-A ABS
2.5

1.9

0.6

(0.6
)

AAA
Total ABS
$
3.3

2.7

0.6

(0.6
)

AA+
MBS:





Non-agency CMBS
$
5.8

4.5

1.3

(0.8
)
0.5

AAA
Total MBS
$
5.8

4.5

1.3

(0.8
)
0.5

AAA



39


December 31, 2013

($ in millions)
Fair
Value
Carry
Value
Unrecognized Holding Gain (Loss)
Unrealized Gain (Loss) in AOCI
Total Unrealized/ Unrecognized Gain (Loss)
Weighted Average Credit Quality
HTM Portfolio:





Foreign government obligations
$
5.6

5.4

0.2

0.1

0.3

AA+
State and municipal obligations
369.8

352.2

17.6

4.0

21.6

AA
Corporate securities
30.3

27.8

2.5

(0.3
)
2.2

A
ABS
3.4

2.8

0.6

(0.6
)

AA+
MBS
7.9

4.7

3.2

(0.9
)
2.3

AA-
Total HTM portfolio
$
417.0

392.9

24.1

2.3

26.4

AA
State and Municipal Obligations:





General obligations
$
118.5

113.1

5.4

2.0

7.4

AA
Special revenue obligations
251.3

239.1

12.2

2.0

14.2

AA
Total state and municipal obligations
$
369.8

352.2

17.6

4.0

21.6

AA
Corporate Securities:





Financial
$
7.3

6.8

0.5

(0.1
)
0.4

BBB+
Industrials
7.8

6.8

1.0

(0.2
)
0.8

A+
Utilities
13.2

12.2

1.0


1.0

A+
Consumer discretionary
2.0

2.0




AA
Total corporate securities
$
30.3

27.8

2.5

(0.3
)
2.2

A
ABS:





ABS
$
0.9

0.9




A
Alt-A ABS
2.5

1.9

0.6

(0.6
)

AAA
Total ABS
$
3.4

2.8

0.6

(0.6
)

AA+
MBS:





Non-agency CMBS
$
7.9

4.7

3.2

(0.9
)
2.3

AA-
Total MBS
$
7.9

4.7

3.2

(0.9
)
2.3

AA-
A portion of our AFS and HTM municipal bonds contain insurance enhancements. The following table provides information regarding these insurance-enhanced securities as of March 31, 2014 :
Insurers of Municipal Bond Securities
($ in thousands)
Fair Value
Ratings
with
Insurance
Ratings
without
Insurance
National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation, a subsidiary of MBIA, Inc.
$
196,191

AA-
AA-
Assured Guaranty
142,463

AA
AA-
Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
58,800

AA
AA
Other
10,631

AA
A+
Total
$
408,085

AA
AA-




40


The following table details the top 10 state exposures of the municipal bond portion of our fixed income securities portfolio at March 31, 2014 :
State Exposures of Municipal Bonds
General Obligation
Special
Revenue
Fair
Value
% of Total
Weighted Average Credit Quality
($ in thousands)
Local
State
Texas 1
$
56,190

1,075

46,854

104,119

8%
AA+
Washington
35,566

6,811

47,510

89,887

7%
AA
New York
9,740


79,184

88,924

7%
AA+
Florida

15,267

49,597

64,864

5%
AA
Arizona
7,850


53,368

61,218

4%
AA
Colorado
31,624


16,793

48,417

4%
AA-
Maryland
25,374


19,120

44,494

3%
AA+
Missouri
16,089

10,046

18,357

44,492

3%
AA+
North Carolina
13,000

8,200

23,076

44,276

3%
AA
California
8,691


33,177

41,868

3%
AA
Other
151,638

139,566

295,449

586,653

44%
AA
355,762

180,965

682,485

1,219,212

91%
AA
Pre-refunded/escrowed to maturity bonds
53,259

13,927

57,076

124,262

9%
AA+
Total
$
409,021

194,892

739,561

1,343,474

100%
AA
% of Total Portfolio
30
%
15
%
55
%
100
%
1 Of the $56 million in local Texas general obligation bonds, $21 million represents investments in Texas Permanent School Fund bonds, which are considered to have lower risk as a result of the bond guarantee program that supports these bonds.
The sector composition and credit quality of our special revenue bonds did not significantly change from December 31, 2013 . For details regarding our special revenue bond sectors and additional information regarding credit risk associated with our portfolio, see Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.” of our 2013 Annual Report.

To manage and mitigate exposure on our MBS portfolio, we perform analysis both at the time of purchase and as part of the ongoing portfolio evaluation. This analysis includes review of loan-to-value ratios, geographic spread of the assets securing the bond, delinquencies in payments for the underlying mortgages, gains/losses on sales, evaluations of projected cash flows, as well as other information that aids in determining the health of the underlying assets. We also consider the overall credit environment, economic conditions, total projected return on the investment, and overall asset allocation of the portfolio in our decisions to purchase or sell structured securities.

Equity Securities
Our equity securities portfolio was 4% of invested assets as of both March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 , while the value of this portfolio increased slightly to $197.7 million from $192.8 million over the same time period. During First Quarter 2014, we rebalanced our high dividend yield strategy holdings within this portfolio, generating purchases of $61.4 million and sales of securities that had an original cost of $53.3 million .

Unrealized/Unrecognized Losses
Our net unrealized/unrecognized loss positions improved by $20.6 million , to $31.4 million, as of March 31, 2014 compared to December 31, 2013 . The majority of this improvement was in our fixed income securities portfolio, which had a loss position of $31.3 million as of March 31, 2014.

The following table presents amortized cost and fair value information for our AFS fixed income securities that were in an unrealized loss position at March 31, 2014 by contractual maturity:
($ in thousands)
Amortized
Cost
Fair
Value
Unrealized Loss
One year or less
$
4,002

3,923

79

Due after one year through five years
456,443

450,103

6,340

Due after five years through ten years
786,554

761,899

24,655

Due after ten years
7,030

6,856

174

Total
$
1,254,029

1,222,781

31,248


41


The following table presents amortized cost and fair value information for our HTM fixed income securities that were in an unrealized/unrecognized loss position at March 31, 2014 by contractual maturity:
($ in thousands)
Amortized
Cost
Fair
Value
Unrecognized/Unrealized Loss
One year or less
$
446

445

1

Due after one year through five years
2,524

2,495

29

Total
$
2,970

2,940

30


We have reviewed the securities in the table above in accordance with our Other-than-Temporary Impairment ("OTTI") policy, which is discussed in Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2013 Annual Report . We have concluded that these securities were temporarily impaired as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013. For additional information regarding the unrealized/unrecognized losses in our AFS and HTM portfolios, see Note 5. “Investments” in Item 1. “Financial Statements” of this Form 10-Q.

Other Investments
As of March 31, 2014 , other investments of $106.7 million represented 2% of our total invested assets.  In addition to the capital that we have already invested to date, we are contractually obligated to invest up to an additional $52.6 million in our other investments portfolio through commitments that currently expire at various dates through 2026. For a description of our seven alternative investment strategies, as well as redemption, restrictions, and fund liquidations, refer to Note 5. "Investments" in Item 1. "Financial Statements" of this Form 10-Q and Note 5. “Investments” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2013 Annual Report .

Net Investment Income
The components of net investment income earned for the indicated periods were as follows:
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2014
2013
Fixed income securities
$
31,028

30,089

Equity securities
1,449

1,207

Short-term investments
19

52

Other investments
5,218

3,602

Investment expenses
(2,180
)
(2,080
)
Net investment income earned – before tax
35,534

32,870

Net investment income tax expense
(9,048
)
(8,031
)
Net investment income earned – after tax
$
26,486

24,839

Effective tax rate
25.5
%
24.4

Annual after-tax yield on fixed income securities
2.2
%
2.3

Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio
2.3
%
2.3


Net investment income before tax increased in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013 primarily due to higher income from our alternative investments. In addition, higher income from our fixed income securities was driven by an increase in the size of this portfolio, which more than offset the lower yield earned this year compared to last.

Realized Gains and Losses
Our general philosophy for sales of securities is to reduce our exposure to securities and sectors based on economic evaluations and when the fundamentals for that security or sector have deteriorated, or to opportunistically trade out of securities to other securities with better economic return characteristics. We typically have a long investment time horizon, and every purchase or sale is made with the intent of maximizing risk adjusted investment returns in the current market environment while balancing capital preservation. Total net realized gains and losses amounted to $7.2 million in First Quarter 2014 and $3.4 million in First Quarter 2013. These amounts included $1.0 million and $1.9 million in OTTI charges in each period, respectively.

We regularly review our entire investment portfolio for declines in fair value. If we believe that a decline in the value of a particular investment is other than temporary, we record it as an OTTI, through realized losses in earnings for the credit-related portion and through unrealized losses in other comprehensive income ("OCI") for the non-credit related portion. If there is a decline in fair value of an equity security that we do not intend to hold, or if we determine that the decline is other than

42


temporary, we write down the cost of the investment to fair value and record the charge through earnings as a component of realized losses.
For discussion of our realized gains and losses as well as our OTTI methodology, see Note 2. “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2013 Annual Report , and for qualitative information about our OTTI charges, see Note 5. "Investments" in Item 1. "Financial Statements" of this
Form 10-Q.

Federal Income Taxes
The following table provides information regarding federal income taxes from continuing operations:
Quarter ended March 31,
($ in million)
2014
2013
Federal income tax expense from continuing operations
$
7.1

6.6

Effective tax rate
28
%
23


Despite lower pre-tax net income in First Quarter 2014 compared to First Quarter 2013, federal income tax expense, as well as the effective tax rate have increased year over year. This increase is driven by our expectation of higher full-year insurance operations results in 2014. We are required, through accounting rules, to record each quarter’s taxes at the expected annual marginal tax rate regardless of the relative magnitude of the individual components within any one quarter.
Financial Condition, Liquidity, Short-term Borrowings, and Capital Resources
Capital resources and liquidity reflect our ability to generate cash flows from business operations, borrow funds at competitive rates, and raise new capital to meet operating and growth needs.
Liquidity
We manage liquidity with a focus on generating sufficient cash flows to meet the short-term and long-term cash requirements of our business operations. Our cash and short-term investment position of $138 million at March 31, 2014 was comprised of $16 million at Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (the "Parent") and $122 million at the Insurance Subsidiaries. Short-term investments are generally maintained in "AAA" rated money market funds approved by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. The Parent continues to maintain a fixed income security investment portfolio containing high-quality, highly-liquid government and corporate fixed income securities to generate additional yield. This portfolio amounted to $55 million at March 31, 2014 compared to $56 million at December 31, 2013.
Sources of cash for the Parent have historically consisted of dividends from the Insurance Subsidiaries, borrowings under lines of credit and loan agreements with certain Insurance Subsidiaries, and the issuance of stock and debt securities. We continue to monitor these sources, giving consideration to our long-term liquidity and capital preservation strategies.

We currently anticipate the Insurance Subsidiaries will pay approximately $57.5 million in total dividends to the Parent in 2014. Cash dividends of $14.4 million were paid in First Quarter 2014. As of December 31, 2013, our allowable ordinary maximum dividend was approximately $127 million for 2014.
Any dividends to the Parent are subject to the approval and/or review of the insurance regulators in the respective domiciliary states and are generally payable only from earned surplus as reported in the statutory annual statements of those subsidiaries as of the preceding December 31. Although past dividends have historically been met with regulatory approval, there is no assurance that future dividends that may be declared will be approved. For additional information regarding dividend restrictions, refer to Note 20. “Statutory Financial Information, Capital Requirements, and Restrictions on Dividends and Transfers of Funds” in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.” of our 2013 Annual Report.
The Parent had no private or public issuances of stock during First Quarter 2014 and there were no borrowings under its $30 million line of credit ("Line of Credit") at March 31, 2014 or at any time during First Quarter 2014.

We have two Insurance Subsidiaries domiciled in Indiana ("Indiana Subsidiaries") that are members of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI"). These Insurance Subsidiaries are Selective Insurance Company of South Carolina ("SICSC") and Selective Insurance Company of the Southeast ("SICSE"). Membership in the FHLBI provides these subsidiaries with access to additional liquidity. The Indiana Subsidiaries' aggregate investment of $2.9 million provides them with the ability to borrow up to 20 times the total amount of the FHLBI common stock purchased, at comparatively low borrowing rates. All borrowings from the FHLBI are required to be secured by certain investments. For additional information regarding the required collateral, refer to Note 5. "Investments" in Item 1. "Financial Statements" of this Form 10-Q.

43


The Parent's Line of Credit agreement permits collateralized borrowings by the Indiana Subsidiaries from the FHLBI so long as the aggregate amount borrowed does not exceed 10% of the respective Indiana Subsidiary's admitted assets from the preceding calendar year. Admitted assets amounted to $542.4 million for SICSC and $414.9 million for SICSE as of December 31, 2013, for a borrowing capacity of approximately $96 million. As our outstanding borrowing with the FHLBI is currently $58 million, the Indiana Subsidiaries have the ability to borrow approximately $38 million more until the Line of Credit borrowing limit is met, of which $30 million could be loaned to the Parent under lending agreements approved by the Indiana Department of Insurance. Similar to the Line of Credit agreement, these lending agreements limit borrowings by the Parent from the Indiana Subsidiaries to 10% of the admitted assets of the respective Indiana Subsidiary. For additional information regarding the Parent's Line of Credit, refer to the section below entitled “Short-term Borrowings.”

The Insurance Subsidiaries also generate liquidity through insurance float, which is created by collecting premiums and earning investment income before losses are paid. The period of the float can extend over many years. Our investment portfolio consists of maturity dates that are laddered to continually provide a source of cash flows for claims payments in the ordinary course of business. The duration of the fixed income securities portfolio including short-term investments was 3.5 years as of March 31, 2014, while the liabilities of the Insurance Subsidiaries have a duration of 3.8 years. In addition, the Insurance Subsidiaries purchase reinsurance coverage for protection against any significantly large claims or catastrophes that may occur during the year.
The liquidity generated from the sources discussed above is used, among other things, to pay dividends to our shareholders. Dividends on shares of the Parent's common stock are declared and paid at the discretion of the Board of Directors based on our operating results, financial condition, capital requirements, contractual restrictions, and other relevant factors.
Our ability to meet our interest and principal repayment obligations on our debt, as well as our ability to continue to pay dividends to our stockholders, is dependent on liquidity at the Parent coupled with the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to pay dividends, if necessary, and/or the availability of other sources of liquidity to the Parent. Upcoming principal payments on our debt include $13 million in December 2014 and $45 million in December 2016. Subsequent to 2016, our next principal repayment is due in 2034. Restrictions on the ability of the Insurance Subsidiaries to declare and pay dividends, without alternative liquidity options, could materially affect our ability to service debt and pay dividends on common stock.

Short-term Borrowings
Our Line of Credit with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as administrative agent, and Branch Banking and Trust Company (BB&T), was renewed effective September 26, 2013 with a borrowing capacity of $30 million, which can be increased to $50 million with the approval of both lending partners.

The Line of Credit provides the Parent with an additional source of short-term liquidity. The interest rate on our Line of Credit varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent’s debt ratings. The Line of Credit expires on September 26, 2017. There were no balances outstanding under the Line of Credit at March 31, 2014 or at any time during First Quarter 2014.
The Line of Credit agreement contains representations, warranties, and covenants that are customary for credit facilities of this type, including, without limitation, financial covenants under which we are obligated to maintain a minimum consolidated net worth, minimum combined statutory surplus, and maximum ratio of consolidated debt to total capitalization, as well as covenants limiting our ability to: (i) merge or liquidate; (ii) incur debt or liens; (iii) dispose of assets; (iv) make certain investments and acquisitions; and (v) engage in transactions with affiliates. The Line of Credit permits collateralized borrowings by the Indiana Subsidiaries from the FHLBI so long as the aggregate amount borrowed does not exceed 10% of the respective Indiana Subsidiary’s admitted assets from the preceding calendar year.
The table below outlines information regarding certain of the covenants in the Line of Credit:
Required as of
March 31, 2014
Actual as of
March 31, 2014
Consolidated net worth
$813 million
$1.2 billion
Statutory surplus
Not less than $750 million
$1.3 billion
Debt-to-capitalization ratio 1
Not to exceed 35%
25.1%
A.M. Best financial strength rating
Minimum of A-
A
1
Calculated in accordance with the Line of Credit agreement.

44


Capital Resources
Capital resources provide protection for policyholders, furnish the financial strength to support the business of underwriting insurance risks, and facilitate continued business growth. At March 31, 2014, we had statutory surplus of $1.3 billion, GAAP stockholders’ equity of $1.2 billion, and total debt of $392.4 million, which equates to a debt-to-capital ratio of approximately 25%.
Our cash requirements include, but are not limited to, principal and interest payments on various notes payable, dividends to stockholders, payment of claims, payment of commitments under limited partnership agreements and capital expenditures, as well as other operating expenses, which include agents’ commissions, labor costs, premium taxes, general and administrative expenses, and income taxes. For further details regarding our cash requirements, refer to the section below entitled, “Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments.”
We continually monitor our cash requirements and the amount of capital resources that we maintain at the holding company and operating subsidiary levels. As part of our long-term capital strategy, we strive to maintain capital metrics, relative to the macroeconomic environment, that support our targeted financial strength. Based on our analysis and market conditions, we may take a variety of actions, including, but not limited to, contributing capital to the Insurance Subsidiaries in our insurance operations, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing shares of the Parent’s common stock, and increasing stockholders’ dividends.
Our capital management strategy is intended to protect the interests of the policyholders of the Insurance Subsidiaries and our stockholders, while enhancing our financial strength and underwriting capacity.
Book value per share increased to $21.09 as of March 31, 2014, from $20.63 as of December 31, 2013, due to $0.32 in net income coupled with a $0.29 increase in unrealized gains on our investment portfolio. These items were partially offset by $0.13 in dividends to our shareholders.

Ratings
We are rated by major rating agencies that issue opinions on our financial strength, operating performance, strategic position, and ability to meet policyholder obligations. We believe that our ability to write insurance business is most influenced by our rating from A.M. Best. In the second quarter of 2013, A.M. Best reaffirmed our rating of "A (Excellent)," their third highest of 13 financial strength ratings, with a “stable” outlook. The rating reflects our solid risk-adjusted capitalization, disciplined underwriting focus, increasing use of predictive modeling technology, strong independent retail agency relationships, and consistently stable loss reserves. We have been rated “A” or higher by A.M. Best for the past 83 years. A downgrade from A.M. Best to a rating below “A-” is an event of default under our Line of Credit and could affect our ability to write new business with customers and/or agents, some of whom are required (under various third-party agreements) to maintain insurance with a carrier that maintains a specified A.M. Best minimum rating.

Ratings by other major rating agencies are as follows:
Fitch Ratings ("Fitch") - Our “A+” rating was reaffirmed in First Quarter 2014, citing our improved underwriting results, strong independent agency relationships, solid loss reserve position, and enhanced diversification through continued efforts to reduce our concentration in New Jersey.  Our outlook remained negative citing increased levels of statutory and financial leverage, a moderate decline in the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") risk-based capital levels, and a moderate decline of our operating earnings-based interest coverage, although Fitch noted that this measure has shown improvement in 2013.
S&P Ratings Services ("S&P") - In the third quarter of 2013, S&P lowered our financial strength rating to “A-” from “A” under their recently revised rating criteria. The rating reflects our strong business risk profile and moderately strong financial risk profile, built on a strong competitive position in the regional small to midsize commercial insurance markets in Mid-Atlantic states and strong capital and earnings. The rating revision reflects S&P's view of our capital and earnings volatility relative to our peers. The outlook for the rating is stable citing the expectation that we will sustain our strong competitive position and business risk profile while maintaining a strong capital and earnings profile.
Moody's Investor Service ("Moody's") - Our "A2" financial strength rating was reaffirmed in First Quarter 2013 by Moody's, which cited our strong regional franchise with established independent agency support, along with solid risk adjusted capitalization and strong invested asset quality. Our outlook was revised to negative, citing that our underwriting results have lagged similarly rated peers.

45


Our S&P, Moody's, and Fitch financial strength and associated credit ratings affect our ability to access capital markets.  The interest rate on our Line of Credit varies and is based on, among other factors, the Parent's debt ratings. There can be no assurance that our ratings will continue for any given period of time or that they will not be changed.  It is possible that positive or negative ratings actions by one or more of the rating agencies may occur in the future.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
At March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013 , we did not have any material relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, such entities often referred to as structured finance or special purpose entities, which would have been established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements or for other contractually narrow or limited purposes. As such, we are not exposed to any material financing, liquidity, market, or credit risk that could arise if we had engaged in such relationships.
Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities, and Commitments
Our future cash payments associated with: (i) loss and loss expense reserves; (ii) contractual obligations pursuant to operating leases for office space and equipment; (iii) notes payable; and (iv) contractual obligations related to our alternative and other investments portfolio have not materially changed since December 31, 2013 . We expect to have the capacity to repay and/or refinance these obligations as they come due.
We have issued no material guarantees on behalf of others and have no trading activities involving non-exchange traded contracts accounted for at fair value. We have no material transactions with related parties other than those disclosed in Note 17. "Related Party Transactions" included in Item 8. "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data." of our 2013 Annual Report.

ITEM 3.    QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
There have been no material changes in the information about market risk set forth in our 2013 Annual Report .

ITEM 4.   CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
Our management, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (“Exchange Act”)), as of the end of the period covered by this report. In performing this evaluation, management used the criteria set forth by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (“COSO”) in Internal Control - Integrated Framework in 1992. Based on such evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of the end of such period, our disclosure controls and procedures are: (i) effective in recording, processing, summarizing, and reporting information on a timely basis that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act; and (ii) effective in ensuring that information that we are required to disclose in the reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure. No changes in our internal control over financial reporting (as such term is defined in Rule 13a-15(f) of the Exchange Act) occurred during First Quarter 2014 that materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.



46


PART II - OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
In the ordinary course of conducting business, we are named as defendants in various legal proceedings. Most of these proceedings are claims litigation involving our Insurance Subsidiaries as either: (i) liability insurers defending or providing indemnity for third-party claims brought against insureds; or (ii) insurers defending first-party coverage claims brought against them. We account for such activity through the establishment of unpaid loss and loss expense reserves. We expect that the ultimate liability, if any, with respect to such ordinary course claims litigation, after consideration of provisions made for potential losses and costs of defense, will not be material to our consolidated financial condition, results of operations, or cash flows.
Our Insurance Subsidiaries are also from time to time involved in other legal actions, some of which assert claims for substantial amounts. These actions include, among others, putative class actions seeking certification of a state or national class. Such putative class actions have alleged, for example, improper reimbursement of medical providers paid under workers compensation and personal and commercial automobile insurance policies. Our Insurance Subsidiaries are also involved from time to time in individual actions in which extra-contractual damages, punitive damages, or penalties are sought, such as claims alleging bad faith in the handling of insurance claims. We believe that we have valid defenses to these cases. We expect that the ultimate liability, if any, with respect to such lawsuits, after consideration of provisions made for estimated losses, will not be material to our consolidated financial condition. Nonetheless, given the large or indeterminate amounts sought in certain of these actions, and the inherent unpredictability of litigation, an adverse outcome in certain matters could, from time to time, have a material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in particular quarterly or annual periods.

ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
Certain risk factors exist that can have a significant impact on our business, liquidity, capital resources, results of operations, financial condition, and debt ratings. The impact of these risk factors could also impact certain actions that we take as part of our long-term capital strategy, including but not limited to, contributing capital to any or all of the Insurance Subsidiaries, issuing additional debt and/or equity securities, repurchasing our equity securities, redeeming our fixed income securities, or increasing or decreasing, stockholders dividends. We operate in a continually changing business environment and new risk factors emerge from time to time. Consequently, we can neither predict such new risk factors nor assess the impact, if any, they might have on our business in the future. There have been no material changes from the risk factors disclosed in Item 1A. “Risk Factors.” in our 2013 Annual Report other than as discussed below.
We face risks regarding our flood business because of uncertainties regarding the NFIP.
We are the fifth largest insurance group participating in the write-your-own ("WYO") arrangement of the NFIP, which is managed by the Mitigation Division of Federal Emergency Management Agency (“FEMA”) in the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. For WYO participation, we receive an expense allowance for policies written and a servicing fee for claims administered. Under the program, all losses are 100% reinsured by the Federal Government. Currently, the expense allowance is 30.7% of premiums written. The servicing fee is the combination of 0.9% of direct written premiums and 1.5% of incurred losses.
The NFIP is funded by Congress. In 2012, after experiencing numerous short-term delays, Congress passed, and the President signed, the Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012 (“Biggert-Waters Act”). The Biggert-Waters Act had two main goals: (i) to extend the NFIP to September 30, 2017; and (ii) to move the program to more market based rates for certain flood policyholders, which would put the program on a more firm financial standing while terminating the process of subsidizing certain rates. FEMA was implementing these rates throughout 2013, which created significant public discontent over the impact on a variety of homeowners.

As a result of that public pressure, on March 21, 2014, the President signed into law the Homeowner Flood Insurance Affordability Act of 2014 (“Flood Affordability Act”). The Flood Affordability Act substantially modifies certain provisions of the Biggert-Waters Act, and makes certain other program changes. Significantly, the Flood Affordability Act substantially modifies many of the Biggert-Waters Act rate increases. Consequently, we will be working with FEMA to implement the new rate structures.
As a WYO carrier, we are required to follow certain NFIP procedures when administering flood policies and claims. Some of these requirements may be different from our normal business practices and may present a reputational risk to our brand. Insurance companies are regulated by states; however, NFIP is a federal program and there may be instances where requirements placed on WYO carriers by NFIP are not consistent with the regulations of a particular state. Consequently, we have the risk that our regulators' positions may conflict with NFIP’s position on the same issue.


47


As a result of the passage of the Biggert-Waters Act and the subsequent substantial modification of many of its provisions, the NFIP remains under scrutiny by policymakers. The uncertainty behind the public policy debate and politics of flood insurance funding and reform make it difficult for us to predict the future of the NFIP and the continued financial viability of our participation in the program.

ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS
The following table provides information regarding our purchases of our common stock in First Quarter 2014 :
Period
Total Number of
Shares Purchased 1
Average Price
Paid per Share
Total Number of
Shares Purchased
as Part of Publicly
Announced Programs
Maximum Number of
Shares that May Yet
Be Purchased Under the Announced Programs
January 1 – 31, 2014

$



February 1 – 28, 2014
118,009

22.31



March 1 – 31, 2014
867

22.93



Total
118,876

$
22.31




1 During First Quarter 2014 , 118,876 shares were purchased from employees in connection with the vesting of restricted stock units. These repurchases were made to satisfy tax withholding obligations with respect to those employees. These shares were not purchased as part of any publicly announced program. The shares that were purchased in connection with the vesting of restricted stock units were purchased at fair market value as defined in the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2005 Omnibus Stock Plan As Amended and Restated Effective as of May 1, 2010.

48


ITEM 5. OTHER INFORMATION
Our 2014 Annual Meeting of Stockholders was held on April 23, 2014. Voting was conducted in person and by proxy as follows:

(a) Stockholders voted to elect the following eleven nominees for a term of one year as follows:
For
Against
Abstain
Paul D. Bauer
43,781,315
1,266,342
27,769
Annabelle G. Bexiga
44,062,513
986,845
26,068
A. David Brown
43,748,483
1,300,254
26,689
John C. Burville
44,018,801
1,021,147
35,478
Joan M. Lamm-Tennant
43,776,043
1,277,861
21,522
Michael J. Morrissey
44,093,553
956,818
25,055
Gregory E. Murphy
43,291,183
1,758,330
25,913
Cynthia S. Nicholson
44,029,855
1,017,594
27,977
Ronald L. O'Kelly
44,028,080
1,014,844
32,502
William M. Rue
38,827,160
6,226,516
21,750
J. Brian Thebault
42,785,334
2,264,388
25,704

There were 4,753,462 broker non-votes for each nominee.

(b) Stockholders voted to approve, on an advisory basis, the compensation of our named executive officers as disclosed in our Proxy Statement for the 2014 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. The votes were as follows: 42,744,633 shares voted for this proposal; 2,264,101 shares voted against it; and 66,692 shares abstained. There were 4,753,462 broker non-votes.

(c) Stockholders voted to approve the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan. The votes were as follows: 42,732,671 shares voted for this proposal; 2,254,643 shares voted against it; and 88,112 shares abstained. There were 4,753,462 broker non-votes.

(d) Stockholders voted to approve the amendment and restatement of the Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Cash Incentive Plan and approve the performance goals set out under the plan for purposes of Section 162(m) of the Internal Revenue Code. The votes were as follows: 42,795,630 shares voted for this proposal; 2,204,677 shares voted against it; and 75,119 shares abstained. There were 4,753,462 broker non-votes.

(e) Stockholders voted to ratify the appointment of KPMG LLP as our independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2014. The votes were as follows: 48,551,749 shares voted for this proposal; 1,191,261 shares voted against it; and 85,878 shares abstained.

49



Item 6. EXHIBITS

(a) Exhibits:
Exhibit No.
*10.1+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Stock Option Agreement.
*10.2+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Stock Option Agreement.
*10.3+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Service-Based Restricted Stock Agreement.
*10.4+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Performance-Based Restricted Stock Agreement.
*10.5+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Service-Based Restricted Stock Unit Agreement.
*10.6+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Performance-Based Restricted Stock Unit Agreement.
*10.7+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. 2014 Omnibus Stock Plan Director Restricted Stock Unit Agreement.
*10.8+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Service-Based Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement.
*10.9+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Cash Incentive Plan Performance-Based Cash Incentive Unit Award Agreement.
*10.10+
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. Non-Employee Directors’ Compensation and Deferral Plan, As Amended and Restated Effective as of May 1, 2014.
* 11
Statement Re: Computation of Per Share Earnings.
* 31.1
Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
* 31.2
Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
* 32.1
Certification of Chief Executive Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
* 32.2
Certification of Chief Financial Officer in accordance with Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
** 101.INS
XBRL Instance Document.
** 101.SCH
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document.
** 101.CAL
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document.
** 101.LAB
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document.
** 101.PRE
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document.
** 101.DEF
XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document.
* Filed herewith.
** Furnished and not filed herewith.
+ Management compensation plan or arrangement


50


SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this Report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
Registrant
By: /s/ Gregory E. Murphy
April 24, 2014
Gregory E. Murphy
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
By: /s/ Dale A. Thatcher
April 24, 2014
Dale A. Thatcher
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
(principal accounting officer and principal financial officer)



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